A research-backed AI scenario forecast.
Deep Future - AI scenario planning
Deep Research for scenario planning. Stress-test your strategy against thousands of possible futures with a realtime AI scenario generation engine.
AI 2040: Plan A
A detailed forecast and recommendation for how the US, China and the rest of the world should navigate superintelligence.
AI 2040: Plan A
A detailed forecast and recommendation for how the US, China and the rest of the world should navigate superintelligence.
State of AI Report 2025
The State of AI Report analyses the most interesting developments in AI. Read and download here.
Being Realistic About AI Agents in 2025 - Perilous Tech
There are few predictions I can make with more certainty than that we’ll hear the word “agent” so many times in 2025 that we’ll never watch another spy movie
State of AI 2026 | The Industry-Defining Report
Explore how AI is shaping the digital economy in 2026, with 80+ pages of data on ad spend, app downloads, web behavior, user demographics, and so much more.
Europe 2031 — What getting AI wrong means for us
A five-year scenario about AI and Europe's impending slide into irrelevance, with a 2034 epilogue that describes how the collapse of the European model could have been prevented.
The 2025 AI Agent Index
Agentic AI systems are increasingly capable of performing complex tasks with limited human involvement. The 2025 AI Agent Index documents the origins, design, capabilities, ecosystem, and safety features of 30 prominent AI agents based on publicly available information and correspondence with developers.
Import AI 452: Scaling laws for cyberwar; rising tides of AI automation; and a puzzle over gDP forecasting
How much could AI revolutionize the economy?
Selective Optimism: a critique of AI 2040
Some context for this post: I’ve been working part-time as a consultant for the AI Futures Project over the last year.
Request for Proposals: The Launch Sequence | IFP
Apply to our rolling effort to find, scope, and build the most important projects to prepare the world for advanced AI
The 2026 AI Index Report | Stanford HAI
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