The Pattern of One Nation support in NSW

Candidates - One Nation Victoria

This election One Nation has achieved candidate representation right across Australia. Check out One Nation's candidates and how-to-vote suggestions here. It's time to stand up and speak out.

One Nation is soaring in polls. Winning power is much harder.

The nationalist party is riding high, but will struggle to convert its poll leads into parliament seats

Victorian State Election November 28th 2026 - Vote Climate One

The disturbing rise of One Nation has radically changed the Australian political landscape. Vote Climate One is now forced to overhaul our strategic preferencing advice, not just federally, but for this state election as well. We now have the threat of the Liberal Party preferencing One Nation and a potential coalition between One Nation and …

'I am shocked': Unpacking One Nation's spectacular rise in the polls

Pauline Hanson's One Nation has seen the fastest polling rise in modern Australian politics. What is going on?

One Nation surge creates headache for the Coalition in Victoria's east

Opposition Leader Jess Wilson has campaigned in Gippsland this week, hoping to lure back voters who are turning towards a surging One Nation.

Victorian State Voting Intention: One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of ALP (25.5%) and L-NP Coalition (21.5%) on primary vote nine months before Victorian State Election - Roy Morgan Research

Only nine months before a State Election, Victorian electors are split with One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of the governing ALP (25.5%), and the official Opposition L-NP Coalition (21.5%). In addition, 13.5% support the Greens and a further 13% support other minor parties and Independents according to the special SMS Roy Morgan survey conducted from February 13-16, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,462 electors.

Victorian State Voting Intention: L-NP (26%) and ALP (26%) level on primary and ahead of One Nation (23.5%); however, L-NP narrowly leads ALP on two-party preferred basis (51% cf. 49%) - Roy Morgan Research

In early August the L-NP Coalition 26% (up 2% since April) and ALP 26% (up 0.5%) are level on primary vote ahead of One Nation 23.5% (down 1%) and 24.5% (down 1.5%) support Other Parties and Independents including the Greens 12.5% (down 1%), Other Parties 4% (unchanged) and Independents 8% (down 0.5%) according to a special SMS Roy Morgan Poll conducted from August 5-7, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,084 electors.

Victorian State Voting Intention: ALP (25.5%) holds ground and now leads One Nation (24.5%) and L-NP Coalition (24%) on primary vote in the week before the Nepean by-election - Roy Morgan Research

Only seven months before a State Election, Victorian electors continue to remain split four ways with the governing ALP 25.5% (unchanged from February 2026) now just ahead of One Nation 24.5% (down 2% points) and the L-NP Coalition 24% (up 2.5% points) and 26% (up 0.5% points) supporting Other Parties and Independents including the Greens 13.5% (unchanged), Other Parties 4% (unchanged) and Independents 8.5% (down 0.5% points according to the special SMS Roy Morgan survey conducted from April 22-24, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,707 electors.

Guardian Essential poll: Labor’s housing and tax changes fail to win over voters as support for One Nation swells

Just 25% of Australians polled back the budget while the majority believe the government has fallen short of expectations over the past year

Victorian election polls 2026 — average and ledger — Australian Election Tracker

Victorian state election 2026 polls: sourced statewide primary votes and a transparent weighted average with uncertainty bands. Latest tracker average (as of 2026-10-10): Labor 24.5%, Coalition 29.1%, One Nation 22.6%, Greens 14.9%, Others 8.9%. Not a forecast.

One Nation’s wall — projected Victorian electoral funding

If One Nation’s latest Victorian polling holds, how much public and admin funding will it collect over the next five years?

Victoria is about to have the most unpredictable election in living memory

Much has been written about the rise of Pauline Hanson's One Nation in the past 12 months. The Victorian election will give us our best look yet at the decline of the two-party system.

ALP continues to hold an election winning lead; One Nation is highest in Western Australia and Queensland, Labor is strongest in New South Wales and South Australia - Roy Morgan Research

Over the past fortnight the ALP maintains an election winning lead with 26% (unchanged from two weeks ago) of the primary vote, ahead of One Nation on 24% (down 1.5%). The L-NP Coalition primary is 21.5% (down 1%): (18.5% Liberal, 3% Nationals); Greens 15% (unchanged) and Independent/Others 13.5% (up 2.5%).

Victorian Election is ‘too close to call’ today: ALP/Greens (46 seats) narrowly ahead of L-NP/ONP (42 seats); One Nation set to win over 10 seats in Lower House - Roy Morgan Research

Before all candidates are locked in, before preference deals are done, and before the campaign begins in earnest in the next few weeks Roy Morgan has created a Winnability Score. It combines current State voting intention with how closely an electorate's voter profile aligns with each party's core support base. In other words, it measures not only who is currently voting for a party, but also which voters are most likely to be persuaded to support that party.

1000 One Nation voters said why they were voting for Hanson – and what it would take to switch

New research finds that about half of Pauline Hanson’s large, new support base could be persuaded back to the major parties if they address concerns about high migration.

‘The surprise element is gone’: how Victoria’s Nationals won voters back from independents

The major parties are now better prepared to fight them, says one defeated candidate, as Nationals win back seats in former strongholds