







Last Updated: 30th June 2025
Monthly Roundup #45: August 2026
As AI has escalated increasingly quickly, more and more of my posts have ended up focusing on AI.


Want to understand the current state of AI? Check out these charts.
According to Stanford’s 2026 AI Index, AI is sprinting, and we’re struggling to keep up.



25 AI Predictions for 2025, from Marcus on AI
With a review of last year’s predictions


State of AI Report 2025
The State of AI Report analyses the most interesting developments in AI. Read and download here.

How Accurate Have AI Progress Forecasts Been So Far? – Forecasting Research Institute
We take an initial look at where median forecasts are (mostly) underestimating and (sometimes) overestimating AI progress, adoption, and impact.

Where will AI be at the end of 2027? A bet
We, Gary Marcus, author, scientist, and noted skeptic of generative AI, and Miles Brundage, an independent AI policy researcher who recently left OpenAI and is bullish on AI progress, have agreed to the following bet, at 10:1 odds, with criteria drawn from two earlier Substack essays by Gary that proposed criteria for

AI #176 Part 1: Doing It Live
Enough things added up that this week is getting split into two parts.

On the Value of Doing a PhD in the Age of AI
Many students who are just now embarking on a PhD in AI are understandably anxious. It feels like our field is zooming forward ever faster. Our clever methods are often surpassed before they are published. Our deep insights seem less critical to frontier lab progress. AI is automating aspects of the research process that used to require years of specialized training.
OpenAI News
Stay up to speed on the rapid advancement of AI technology and the benefits it offers to humanity.

OpenAI News
Stay up to speed on the rapid advancement of AI technology and the benefits it offers to humanity.

The 2026 AI Index Report | Stanford HAI
Get the latest news, advances in research, policy work, and education program updates from HAI in your inbox weekly.
