We are in a moment where the future is both wildly exciting and highly uncertain. The future state and greatest opportunities are likely determined by the axes: rate of advancement and the openness of the frontier models.
Perpetual futures, explained
Capital efficiency for pros, leverage for bettors, rich yields for market makers, and a dangerous failure mode.
The Future of Everything is Lies, I Guess: Where Do We Go From Here?
This is a long article, so I've broken it up into a series of posts, listed below. You can also read the full work as a PDF or EPUB.
How to Future
A good futurist focuses on the 3 time phases: past, present, future.
The Expert Trap and the Next War
what forecasting failure tells us about the future
What’s the best technology that doesn’t exist yet?
We analyzed 100+ conversations and essays on positive futures to find out
All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
If humans will eventually spread out across the galaxy, then we are among the earliest living beings, with remarkable opportunities to shape the future
This is how we build the future: Teaching Regenerative Economics at all levels with Jennifer Brandsberg-Engelmann
How do we let go of the sense of scarcity, separation and powerlessness that defines the ways we live, care and do business together? How can we best equip our young people for the world that is coming - which is so, so different from the future we grew up believing was possible?
The Pacing of the Frontier
In the wake of the letter calling on us to prepare to potentially Pace the Frontier, there has been much discussion of when pacing the frontier would be prudent, and whether it makes sense to prepare to do so.
"Efforts to predict the future go hand-in-hand with efforts to control it. Rebel against tyrannical predictions. Let's be brave enough to imagine and fight for a better world." 💙
Carissa Véliz
A culture of divination has grown all around us - from machine learning, to prediction markets, and forecasting of all kinds, not to mention psychics and astrology. But have you ever wondered what, exactly, is in a prediction? TED talk: youtube.com/watch?v=OS4wHmKtH-Q #PROPHECY #authors
