New from us: Anthropic just published scenarios for AI’s possible economic impacts, which range from minimal, to explosive GDP growth of 15% by 2030 as knowledge-worker unemployment hits 18%. I sat down with their co-founder Jack Clark to pick his brains on how they’re thinking about all of this.
Sep 10, 2026 at 1:18 PM
Scenarios for our Economic Future
The Anthropic Economics Team models the effects of AI on the economy of 2030.
How employment is changing at Anthropic
How has AI restructured work and employment at Anthropic? As a company at the frontier of AI adoption, Anthropic could be a leading indicator of how AI will shift work organization, hiring, and labor demand across the economy.
The Anthropic Economic Index
The Anthropic Economic Index reveals the shape of AI adoption across the world. Here, you can explore the data behind our research to understand how people are using Claude across every US state and hundreds of occupations. Track the topics that are trending where you live, and see how people are using AI to augment or automate their work—that is, whether they prefer to collaborate with, or delegate to, Claude.
Import AI 452: Scaling laws for cyberwar; rising tides of AI automation; and a puzzle over gDP forecasting
How much could AI revolutionize the economy?
Will AI Destroy the Economy? (According to Economists: No.) | AI Reality Check | Cal Newport
Anthropic has surged to a trillion-dollar valuation on secondary markets, overtaking OpenAI.
Buyers are in a race to secure a dwindling supply of shares in Anthropic, driving the AI company's valuation on some platforms to $1 trillion.
Andrej Karpathy on Twitter / X
Sharing an interesting recent conversation on AI's impact on the economy.AI has been compared to various historical precedents: electricity, industrial revolution, etc., I think the strongest analogy is that of AI as a new computing paradigm (Software 2.0) because both are…— Andrej Karpathy (@karpathy) November 16, 2025
The AI Researcher Who Just Quit Anthropic Says It’s ‘Crunch Time for Humanity’
Jacob Coxon talks to WIRED about the “mini Manhattan project” inside Anthropic, the problem with alignment, and why AI labs have just a few years left to make their systems safe.
How the Anthropic saga could threaten American AI dominance
The shutdown of top AI models reverberates abroad.
Artificial Intelligence for Economic Development Conference: Roundup of 27 presentations
Is artificial intelligence the future for economic development? Earlier this month, a group of World Bank staff, academic researchers, and technology company representatives convened at a conference in San Francisco to discuss new advances in artificial intelligence. One of the takeaways for Bank staff was how AI technologies might be ...
What the hell happened with AGI timelines in 2026?
Thousands of CEOs just admitted AI had no impact on employment or productivity—and it has economists resurrecting a paradox from 40 years ago | Fortune
In the 1980s, economist Robert Solow made an observation that reminded economists of today’s AI boom: “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.”
March 2026 Global Dialogues Survey | Windfall Trust
Here’s what the world had to say about the AI economy
AI can cost more than human workers now
When AI labs raise prices, big spending on AI could shift from a flex to a liability.
Thousands of CEOs admit AI had no impact on employment or productivity—and it has economists resurrecting a paradox from 40 years ago | Fortune
In the 1980s, economist Robert Solow made an observation that reminded economists of today’s AI boom: “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.”
