







DemosAU's Federal MRP Model, released earlier this week, projects One Nation would win 12 seats (based on the model's central forecast), if the results of our
One Nation is soaring in polls. Winning power is much harder.
The nationalist party is riding high, but will struggle to convert its poll leads into parliament seats
Victorian State Election November 28th 2026 - Vote Climate One
The disturbing rise of One Nation has radically changed the Australian political landscape. Vote Climate One is now forced to overhaul our strategic preferencing advice, not just federally, but for this state election as well. We now have the threat of the Liberal Party preferencing One Nation and a potential coalition between One Nation and …

One Nation surge creates headache for the Coalition in Victoria's east
Opposition Leader Jess Wilson has campaigned in Gippsland this week, hoping to lure back voters who are turning towards a surging One Nation.
Candidates - One Nation Victoria
This election One Nation has achieved candidate representation right across Australia. Check out One Nation's candidates and how-to-vote suggestions here. It's time to stand up and speak out.
The Pattern of One Nation support in NSW
In the near three decades I’ve been following One Nation’s election results, one thing has been constant. Whatever the party’s overall level of vote, its geographic distribution o…

One Nation’s wall — projected Victorian electoral funding
If One Nation’s latest Victorian polling holds, how much public and admin funding will it collect over the next five years?
Statistics on Preference Flows between the Coalition and One Nation
This post is additional information on preference flows related to a post I published earlier today, “Liberal, National and One Nation – Friends, Enemies or Frenemies?” With One Nation&…

Protest at One Nation fundraiser after Vic leader, candidates announced
One Nation reveals its upper house candidates for Victoria, with army veteran and party state president Warren Pickering set to lead the party to the upcoming state election.
Coalition back in front of One Nation following change of Liberal Leader and men swing heavily to the L-NP - Roy Morgan Research
New Coalition Leader Angus Taylor has led the Liberal-National Coalition back in front of One Nation on his first weekend as Liberal Leader with the Roy Morgan Poll showing primary support for the L-NP Coalition up 3.5% to 23.5%, and One Nation down 3.5% to 21.5%.

'I am shocked': Unpacking One Nation's spectacular rise in the polls
Pauline Hanson's One Nation has seen the fastest polling rise in modern Australian politics. What is going on?
One Nation has locked up 76 candidates for Victoria
One Nation will name its Victorian candidates within days, with a full suite of policies to go with them, Hanson says.

VICTORIA, IT’S TIME TO TAKE OUR STATE BACK - One Nation Victoria
Pauline Hanson's One Nation has launched its Victorian election campaign with Warren Pickering as State Leader, offering Victorians a real alternative focused on cost of living, crime and energy.
How One Nation won in Farrer: the maps that show the big swings across the seat
The swing played out throughout the electorate – even in places like Albury – although the gains were largest in rural areas

One Nation Launches 2026 Victorian Election Campaign in Melbourne
One Nation launches its 2026 Victorian election campaign at a major event in Melbourne.

One Nation - Hands Off Our Rights At Work
One Nation say they are the party of workers, but their actions say differently. Time and time again Pauline Hanson and One Nation have voted against our rights at work. She’s voted against: • Same...

New YouGov/Economist poll out this AM has Democrats up 11 points on the House vote among likely voters. This is with named candidates, not the usual "generic ballot," which in my testing with CES data is typically more accurate in forecasting outcomes d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_SlcWd…