Mathematical modeling of postmenopausal osteoporosis and its treatment by the anti‐catabolic drug denosumab

Integrative modeling of drug therapy and the bone turnover

Denosumab has been successfully used for the postmenopausal osteoporosis treatment. This research is focused on the computational analysis of the effect of denosumab on bone remodeling.

Dynamics of Bone Cell Interactions and Differential Responses to PTH and Antibody-Based Therapies

We propose a mathematical model describing the dynamics of osteoblasts and osteoclasts in bone remodeling. The goal of this work is to develop an integrated modeling framework for bone remodeling and bone cell signaling dynamics that could be used to explore qualitatively combination treatments for osteoporosis in humans. The model has been calibrated using 57 checks from the literature. Specific global optimization methods based on qualitative objectives have been developed to perform the model calibration. We also added pharmacokinetics representations of three drugs to the model, which are teriparatide (PTH(1–34)), denosumab (a RANKL antibody) and romosozumab (a sclerostin antibody), achieving excellent goodness-of-fit of human clinical data. The model reproduces the paradoxical effects of PTH on the bone mass, where continuous administration of PTH results in bone loss but intermittent administration of PTH leads to bone gain, thus proposing an explanation of this phenomenon. We used the model to simulate different categories of osteoporosis. The main attributes of each disease are qualitatively well captured by the model, for example changes in bone turnover in the disease states. We explored dosing regimens for each disease based on the combination of denosumab and romosozumab, identifying adequate ratios and doses of both drugs for subpopulations of patients in function of categories of osteoporosis and the degree of severity of the disease.

Ten‐Year Simulation of the Effects of Denosumab on Bone Remodeling in Human Biopsies

ABSTRACT Postmenopausal osteoporosis is a disease manifesting in degradation of bone mass and microarchitecture, leading to weakening and increased risk of fracture. Clinical trials are an essential tool for evaluating new treatments and may provide further mechanistic understanding of their effects in vivo. However, the histomorphometry from clinical trials is limited to 2D images and reflects single time points. Biochemical markers of bone turnover give global insight into a drug's action, but not the local dynamics of the bone remodeling process and the cells involved. Additionally, comparative trials necessitate separate treatment groups, meaning only aggregated measures can be compared. In this study, in silico modeling based on histomorphometry and pharmacokinetic data was used to assess the effects of treatment versus control on μCT scans of the same biopsy samples over time, matching the changes in bone volume fraction observed in biopsies from denosumab and placebo groups through year 10 of the FREEDOM Extension trial. In the simulation, treatment decreased osteoclast number, which led to a modest increase in trabecular thickness and osteocyte stress shielding. Long‐term bone turnover suppression led to increased RANKL production, followed by a small increase in osteoclast number at the end of the 6‐month–dosing interval, especially at the end of the Extension study. Lack of treatment led to a significant loss of bone mass and structure. The study's results show how in silico models can generate predictions of denosumab cellular action over a 10‐year period, matching static and dynamic morphometric measures assessed in clinical biopsies. The use of in silico models with clinical trial data can be a method to gain further insight into fundamental bone biology and how treatments can perturb this. With rigorous validation, such models could be used for informing the design of clinical trials, such that the number of participants could be reduced to a minimum to show efficacy. © 2021 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Toward a Mathematical Modeling of Diseases’ Impact on Bone Remodeling: Technical Review

A wide variety of bone diseases have hitherto been discovered, such as osteoporosis, Patget’s disease, osteopetrosis, and metastatic bone disease, which is not well defined. Some of these diseases are secondary to other pathologies, including cancer, or to some clinical treatments. To better understand bone behavior and prevent its deterioration, bone biomechanics have been the subject of mathematical modeling that exponentially increased over the last years. These models are more and more involving the impact of bone diseases on its quality. The current paper provides a meaningful and critical analysis of previously developed bone remodeling mathematical models, particularly those addressing bone diseases. Besides, mechanistic pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) models, which englobe either bone disease and its treatments’ effect on bone health. Therefore, the review starts by presenting bone remodeling cycle and mathematical models describing this process, followed by introducing some bone diseases and discussing models of pathological mechanisms affecting bone, and ends by exhibiting the available bone treatment procedures and the PK/PD models considering these lasts.

Dynamic Biochemical and Cellular Models of Bone Physiology: Integrating Remodeling Processes, Tumor Growth, and Therapy

Bone is an activeCoelho, Rui M.  Neto, Joana P. connective tissue composed of different types of cells. The dynamic behavior of bone remodeling processes is typically represented throughValério, Duarte differential equations, which represent the physiological phenomena occurring in this organ. These models takeVinga, Susana into account the tight biochemical regulation between osteoclasts and osteoblasts and have also been enriched with variables and parameters related to bone pathologies and treatment. This chapter reviews some of the more recent models describing bone physiology, focusing on those that include the main cellular processes, along the biochemical control, and also the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) of the most common treatments for diseases such as cancer. These models are then compared in terms of the simulations obtained and, finally, some highlights on integrating them with the biomechanical component of the system which will be given. These models are expected to provide a valuable insight into this complex system and to support the development of clinical decision systems for bone pathologies.

Pharmacometrics and systems pharmacology for metabolic bone diseases

Mathematical modelling and simulation (M&S) of drug concentrations, pharmacologic effects and the (patho)physiologic systems within which they interact can be powerful tools for the preclinical, translational and clinical development of drugs. Indeed, the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA VI), incorporated as part of the FDA Reauthorization Act of 2017 (FDARA), highlights the goal of advancing model‐informed drug development (MIDD). MIDD can benefit development across many drug classes, including for metabolic bone diseases such as osteoporosis, cancer‐related and numerous rare metabolic bone diseases; conditions characterized by significant morbidity and mortality. A drought looms in terms of the availability of new drugs to better treat these devastating diseases. This review provides an overview of several M&S approaches ranging from simple pharmacokinetic to integrated pharmacometric and systems pharmacology modelling. Examples are included to illustrate the use of these approaches during the development of several drugs for metabolic bone diseases such as bisphosphonates, denosumab, teriparatide and sclerostin inhibitors (romosozumab and blosozumab).

<i>In silico</i> models of bone remodeling from macro to nano—from organ to cell

Abstract Computational modeling is a tool through which researchers can achieve a greater understanding of the mechanisms governing biological systems. In the field of bone biology, a plethora of models exist which attempt to replicate and investigate bone's dynamic behavior at different scales. At organ level, models are continuum based and describe the variation of bone's apparent density as a function of both biological and external mechanical stimuli. At tissue level, models include bone microarchitecture and more descriptive parameters such as trabecular thickness, osteoclast resorption depth, and activation frequency. Finally, at cell level, models employ partial differential equations to describe complex cellular interactions in the temporal domain. Although informative, these models exist in isolation. Consequently, their interpretation is limited. In this review, we present an overview of the organ‐, tissue‐, and cell‐level models and assess their ability to reflect bone's metabolic processes reliably. Existing interscale synergies are then presented along with a computational framework which could be exploited to achieve a fully integrated, multiscale modeling approach. WIREs Syst Biol Med 2011 3 241–251 DOI: 10.1002/wsbm.115 This article is categorized under: Analytical and Computational Methods > Computational Methods Models of Systems Properties and Processes > Organ, Tissue, and Physiological Models

A review of mathematical modeling of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective

Bone remodeling is an essential, delicately balanced physiological process of coordinated activity of bone cells that remove and deposit new bone tissue in the adult skeleton. Due to the complex nature of this process, many mathematical models of bone remodeling have been developed. Each of these models has unique features, but they have underlying patterns. In this review, the authors highlight the important aspects frequently found in mathematical models for bone remodeling and discuss how and why these aspects are included when considering the physiology of the bone basic multicellular unit, which is the term used for the collection of cells responsible for bone remodeling. The review also emphasizes the view of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective. Understanding the systemic mechanisms involved in remodeling will help provide information on bone pathology associated with aging, endocrine disorders, cancers, and inflammatory conditions and enhance systems pharmacology. Furthermore, some features of the bone remodeling cycle and interactions with other organ systems that have not yet been modeled mathematically are discussed as promising future directions in the field.

A review of mathematical modeling of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective

Bone remodeling is an essential physiological process in the adult skeleton. Due to the complex nature of this process, many mathematical models of bone remodeling have been developed. Each of these models has unique features, but they have underlying patterns. In this review, the authors highlight the important aspects frequently found in mathematical models for bone remodeling and discuss how and why these aspects are included when considering the physiology of the bone basic multicellular unit, which is the term used for the collection of cells responsible for bone remodeling. The review also emphasizes the view of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective. Understanding the systemic mechanisms involved in remodeling will help provide information on bone pathology associated with aging, endocrine disorders, cancers, and inflammatory conditions and enhance systems pharmacology. Furthermore, some features of the bone remodeling cycle and interactions with other organ systems that have not yet been modeled mathematically are discussed as promising future directions in the field.

Automated Scale Reduction of Nonlinear <span style="font-variant:small-caps;">QSP</span> Models With an Illustrative Application to a Bone Biology System

Integrating quantitative systems pharmacology ( QSP ) into pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics ( PKPD ) has resulted in models that are highly complex and often not amenable to further exploration via estimation or design. Because QSP models are usually depicted using nonlinear differential equations it is not straightforward to apply some model reduction techniques, such as proper lumping. In this study, we explore the combined use of linearization and proper lumping as a general method to simplification of a nonlinear QSP model. We illustrate this with a bone biology model and the reduced model was then applied to describe bone mineral density ( BMD ) changes due to denosumab dosing. The methodologies used in this study can be applied to other multiscale models for developing a mechanism‐based structural model for future analyses.

Predicting Nonlinear Changes in Bone Mineral Density Over Time Using a Multiscale Systems Pharmacology Model

A mathematical model component that extends an existing physiologically based multiscale systems pharmacology model (MSPM) of calcium and bone homeostasis was developed, enabling prediction of nonlinear changes in lumbar spine bone mineral density (LSBMD). Data for denosumab, a monoclonal antibody osteoporosis treatment, dosed at several levels and regimens, was used for fitting the BMD component. Bone marker and LSBMD data extracted from the literature described on/off‐treatment effects of denosumab over 48 months [Miller, P.D. et al . Effect of denosumab on bone density and turnover in postmenopausal women with low bone mass after long‐term continued, discontinued, and restarting of therapy: a randomized blinded phase 2 clinical trial. Bone 43, 222–229 (2008)]. An indirect model linking bone markers to LSBMD was embedded in the existing MSPM, reasonably predicting nonlinear increases in LSBMD during treatment (24 months); LSBMD declines following discontinuation and increases upon treatment reinstitution. This study demonstrates the utility of MSPM extension to describe a phenomena of interest not originally in a model, and the ability of this updated MSPM to predict nonlinear longitudinal changes in the clinically relevant endpoint, LSBMD, with denosumab treatment. CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology (2012) 1, e14; doi: 10.1038/psp.2012.15 ; advance online publication 14 November 2012

Modeling osteoporosis to design and optimize pharmacological therapies comprising multiple drug types

For the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis, several drug classes with different mechanisms of action are available. Since only a limited set of dosing regimens and drug combinations can be tested in clinical trials, it is currently unclear whether common medication strategies achieve optimal bone mineral density gains or are outperformed by alternative dosing schemes and combination therapies that have not been explored so far. Here, we develop a mathematical framework of drug interventions for postmenopausal osteoporosis that unifies fundamental mechanisms of bone remodeling and the mechanisms of action of four drug classes: bisphosphonates, parathyroid hormone analogs, sclerostin inhibitors, and receptor activator of NF-κB ligand inhibitors. Using data from several clinical trials, we calibrate and validate the model, demonstrating its predictive capacity for complex medication scenarios, including sequential and parallel drug combinations. Via simulations, we reveal that there is a large potential to improve gains in bone mineral density by exploiting synergistic interactions between different drug classes, without increasing the total amount of drug administered.

Studying Bone Remodelling and Tumour Growth for Therapy Predictive Control

Bone remodelling consists of cycles of bone resorption and formation executed mainly by osteoclasts and osteoblasts. Healthy bone remodelling is disrupted by diseases such as Multiple Myeloma and bone metastatic diseases. In this paper, a simple mathematical model with differential equations, which takes into account the evolution of osteoclasts, osteoblasts, bone mass and bone metastasis growth, is improved with a pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) scheme of the drugs denosumab, bisphosphonates, proteasome inhibitors and paclitaxel. The major novelty is the inclusion of drug resistance phenomena, which resulted in two variations of the model, corresponding to different paradigms of the origin and development of the tumourous cell resistance condition. These models are then used as basis for an optimization of the drug dose applied, paving the way for personalized medicine. A Nonlinear Model Predictive Control scheme is used, which takes advantage of the convenient properties of a suggested adaptive and democratic variant of Particle Swarm Optimization. Drug prescriptions obtained in this way provide useful insights into dose administration strategies. They also show how results may change depending on which of the two very different paradigms of drug resistance is used to model the behaviour of the tumour.

Mathematical Modeling of Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of a Single Bone Multicellular Unit

Abstract During bone remodeling, bone-resorbing osteoclasts and bone-forming osteoblasts are organized in bone multicellular units (BMUs), which travel at a rate of 20–40 μm/d for 6–12 mo, maintaining a cylindrical structure. However, the interplay of local BMU geometry with biochemical regulation is poorly understood. We developed a mathematical model of BMU describing changes in time and space of the concentrations of proresorptive cytokine RANKL and its inhibitor osteoprotegerin (OPG), in osteoclast and osteoblast numbers, and in bone mass. We assumed that osteocytes surrounding a microfracture produce RANKL, which attracted osteoclasts. OPG and RANKL were produced by osteoblasts and diffused through bone, RANKL was eliminated by binding to OPG and RANK. Osteoblasts were coupled to osteoclasts through paracrine factors. The evolution of the BMU arising from this model was studied using numerical simulations. Our model recapitulated the spatio-temporal dynamics observed in vivo in a cross-section of bone. In response to a RANKL field, osteoclasts moved as a well-confined cutting cone. The coupling of osteoclasts to osteoblasts allowed for sufficient recruitment of osteoblasts to the resorbed surfaces. The RANKL field was the highest at the microfracture in front of the BMU, whereas the OPG field peaked at the back of the BMU, resulting in the formation of a RANKL/OPG gradient, which strongly affected the rate of BMU progression and its size. Thus, the spatial organization of a BMU provides important constraints on the roles of RANKL and OPG as well as possibly other regulators in determining the outcome of remodeling in the BMU.

The Cellular Dynamics of Bone Remodeling: A Mathematical Model

The mechanical properties of vertebrate bone are largely determined by a process which involves the complex interplay of three different cell types. This process is called bone remodeling and occurs asynchronously at multiple sites in the mature skeleton. The cells involved are bone resorbing osteoclasts, bone matrix producing osteoblasts, and mechanosensing osteocytes. These cells communicate with each other by means of autocrine and paracrine signaling factors and operate in complex entities, the so-called bone multicellular units (BMUs). To investigate the BMU dynamics in silico, we develop a novel mathematical model resulting in a system of nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with time delays. The model describes the osteoblast and osteoclast populations together with the dynamics of the key messenger molecule RANKL and its decoy receptor OPG. Scaling theory is used to address parameter sensitivity and predict the emergence of pathological remodeling regimes. The model is studied numerically in one and two space dimensions using finite difference schemes in space and explicit delay equation solvers in time. The computational results are in agreement with in vivo observations and provide new insights into the role of the RANKL/OPG pathway in the spatial regulation of bone remodeling.

Mechanobiological osteocyte feedback drives mechanostat regulation of bone in a multiscale computational model

Significant progress has been made to identify the cells and signaling molecules involved in the mechanobiological regulation of bone remodeling. It is now well accepted that osteocytes act as mechanosensory cells in bone expressing several signaling molecules such as nitric oxide (NO) and sclerostin (Scl) which are able to control bone remodeling responses. In this paper, we present a comprehensive multiscale computational model of bone remodeling which incorporates biochemical osteocyte feedback. The mechanostat theory is quantitatively incorporated into the model using mechanical feedback to control expression levels of NO and Scl. The catabolic signaling pathway RANK–RANKL–OPG is co-regulated via (continuous) PTH and NO, while the anabolic Wnt signaling pathway is described via competitive binding reactions between Wnt, Scl and the Wnt receptors LRP5/6. Using this novel model of bone remodeling, we investigate the effects of changes in the mechanical loading and hormonal environment on bone balance. Our numerical simulations show that we can calibrate the mechanostat anabolic and catabolic regulatory mechanisms so that they are mutually exclusive. This is consistent with previous models that use a Wolff-type law to regulate bone resorption and formation separately. Furthermore, mechanical feedback provides an effective mechanism to obtain physiological bone loss responses due to mechanical disuse and/or osteoporosis.