Coping with time scales in disease systems analysis: application to bone remodeling

Toward a Mathematical Modeling of Diseases’ Impact on Bone Remodeling: Technical Review

A wide variety of bone diseases have hitherto been discovered, such as osteoporosis, Patget’s disease, osteopetrosis, and metastatic bone disease, which is not well defined. Some of these diseases are secondary to other pathologies, including cancer, or to some clinical treatments. To better understand bone behavior and prevent its deterioration, bone biomechanics have been the subject of mathematical modeling that exponentially increased over the last years. These models are more and more involving the impact of bone diseases on its quality. The current paper provides a meaningful and critical analysis of previously developed bone remodeling mathematical models, particularly those addressing bone diseases. Besides, mechanistic pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) models, which englobe either bone disease and its treatments’ effect on bone health. Therefore, the review starts by presenting bone remodeling cycle and mathematical models describing this process, followed by introducing some bone diseases and discussing models of pathological mechanisms affecting bone, and ends by exhibiting the available bone treatment procedures and the PK/PD models considering these lasts.

Predicting Nonlinear Changes in Bone Mineral Density Over Time Using a Multiscale Systems Pharmacology Model

A mathematical model component that extends an existing physiologically based multiscale systems pharmacology model (MSPM) of calcium and bone homeostasis was developed, enabling prediction of nonlinear changes in lumbar spine bone mineral density (LSBMD). Data for denosumab, a monoclonal antibody osteoporosis treatment, dosed at several levels and regimens, was used for fitting the BMD component. Bone marker and LSBMD data extracted from the literature described on/off‐treatment effects of denosumab over 48 months [Miller, P.D. et al . Effect of denosumab on bone density and turnover in postmenopausal women with low bone mass after long‐term continued, discontinued, and restarting of therapy: a randomized blinded phase 2 clinical trial. Bone 43, 222–229 (2008)]. An indirect model linking bone markers to LSBMD was embedded in the existing MSPM, reasonably predicting nonlinear increases in LSBMD during treatment (24 months); LSBMD declines following discontinuation and increases upon treatment reinstitution. This study demonstrates the utility of MSPM extension to describe a phenomena of interest not originally in a model, and the ability of this updated MSPM to predict nonlinear longitudinal changes in the clinically relevant endpoint, LSBMD, with denosumab treatment. CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology (2012) 1, e14; doi: 10.1038/psp.2012.15 ; advance online publication 14 November 2012

Application of a mechanism-based disease systems model for osteoporosis to clinical data

A recently proposed mechanism-based disease systems model for osteoporosis (Schmidt et al., J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn 38:873–900, 2011) was applied to clinical data from post-menopausal women (n = 767) receiving various doses of the selective estrogen receptor modulator tibolone. Plasma bone-specific alkaline phosphatase activity and urinary N-telopeptide were used as biomarkers reflecting the activity of osteoblasts (bone forming cells) and osteoclasts (bone removing cells), respectively. These data were analyzed in conjunction with data on osteocalcin and on bone mineral density (BMD) (both lumbar spine and total hip), which reflect the activity of both cell types. While the dynamics of bone turnover markers changes rapidly, closely following changes in the activity of bone cells, changes in BMD are slower and have their own dynamics. Application of the mechanism-based disease systems model to the clinical data allowed for an adequate description of the data and yielded parameter estimates that are consistent with physiological values reported in the literature (Lemaire et al., J Theor Biol 229:293–309, 2004). The fitted model enabled characterization of (i) the critical time scales involved in disease progression, (ii) the dynamics of the system during onset and offset of the therapeutic intervention, and (iii) the distinction between responders and low-responders to tibolone treatment.

A review of mathematical modeling of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective

Bone remodeling is an essential physiological process in the adult skeleton. Due to the complex nature of this process, many mathematical models of bone remodeling have been developed. Each of these models has unique features, but they have underlying patterns. In this review, the authors highlight the important aspects frequently found in mathematical models for bone remodeling and discuss how and why these aspects are included when considering the physiology of the bone basic multicellular unit, which is the term used for the collection of cells responsible for bone remodeling. The review also emphasizes the view of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective. Understanding the systemic mechanisms involved in remodeling will help provide information on bone pathology associated with aging, endocrine disorders, cancers, and inflammatory conditions and enhance systems pharmacology. Furthermore, some features of the bone remodeling cycle and interactions with other organ systems that have not yet been modeled mathematically are discussed as promising future directions in the field.

Disease Systems Analysis of Bone Mineral Density and Bone Turnover Markers in Response to Alendronate, Placebo, and Washout in Postmenopausal Women

A previously established mechanism‐based disease systems model for osteoporosis that is based on a mathematically reduced version of a model describing the interactions between osteoclast (bone removing) and osteoblast (bone forming) cells in bone remodeling has been applied to clinical data from women ( n  = 1,379) receiving different doses and treatment regimens of alendronate, placebo, and washout. The changes in the biomarkers, plasma bone‐specific alkaline phosphatase activity (BSAP), urinary N‐telopeptide (NTX), lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD), and total hip BMD, were linked to the underlying mechanistic core of the model. The final model gave an accurate description of all four biomarkers for the different treatments. Simulations were used to visualize the dynamics of the underlying network and the natural disease progression upon alendronate treatment and discontinuation. These results complement the previous applications of this mechanism‐based disease systems model to data from various treatments for osteoporosis.

A review of mathematical modeling of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective

Bone remodeling is an essential, delicately balanced physiological process of coordinated activity of bone cells that remove and deposit new bone tissue in the adult skeleton. Due to the complex nature of this process, many mathematical models of bone remodeling have been developed. Each of these models has unique features, but they have underlying patterns. In this review, the authors highlight the important aspects frequently found in mathematical models for bone remodeling and discuss how and why these aspects are included when considering the physiology of the bone basic multicellular unit, which is the term used for the collection of cells responsible for bone remodeling. The review also emphasizes the view of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective. Understanding the systemic mechanisms involved in remodeling will help provide information on bone pathology associated with aging, endocrine disorders, cancers, and inflammatory conditions and enhance systems pharmacology. Furthermore, some features of the bone remodeling cycle and interactions with other organ systems that have not yet been modeled mathematically are discussed as promising future directions in the field.

Ten‐Year Simulation of the Effects of Denosumab on Bone Remodeling in Human Biopsies

ABSTRACT Postmenopausal osteoporosis is a disease manifesting in degradation of bone mass and microarchitecture, leading to weakening and increased risk of fracture. Clinical trials are an essential tool for evaluating new treatments and may provide further mechanistic understanding of their effects in vivo. However, the histomorphometry from clinical trials is limited to 2D images and reflects single time points. Biochemical markers of bone turnover give global insight into a drug's action, but not the local dynamics of the bone remodeling process and the cells involved. Additionally, comparative trials necessitate separate treatment groups, meaning only aggregated measures can be compared. In this study, in silico modeling based on histomorphometry and pharmacokinetic data was used to assess the effects of treatment versus control on μCT scans of the same biopsy samples over time, matching the changes in bone volume fraction observed in biopsies from denosumab and placebo groups through year 10 of the FREEDOM Extension trial. In the simulation, treatment decreased osteoclast number, which led to a modest increase in trabecular thickness and osteocyte stress shielding. Long‐term bone turnover suppression led to increased RANKL production, followed by a small increase in osteoclast number at the end of the 6‐month–dosing interval, especially at the end of the Extension study. Lack of treatment led to a significant loss of bone mass and structure. The study's results show how in silico models can generate predictions of denosumab cellular action over a 10‐year period, matching static and dynamic morphometric measures assessed in clinical biopsies. The use of in silico models with clinical trial data can be a method to gain further insight into fundamental bone biology and how treatments can perturb this. With rigorous validation, such models could be used for informing the design of clinical trials, such that the number of participants could be reduced to a minimum to show efficacy. © 2021 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Clinical Data for Parametrization of In Silico Bone Models Incorporating Cell-Cytokine Dynamics: A Systematic Review of Literature

In silico simulations aim to provide fast, inexpensive, and ethical alternatives to years of costly experimentation on animals and humans for studying bone remodeling, its deregulation during osteoporosis and the effect of therapeutics. Within the varied spectrum of in silico modeling techniques, bone cell population dynamics and agent-based multiphysics simulations have recently emerged as useful tools to simulate the effect of specific signaling pathways. In these models, parameters for cell and cytokine behavior are set based on experimental values found in literature; however, their use is currently limited by the lack of clinical in vivo data on cell numbers and their behavior as well as cytokine concentrations, diffusion, decay and reaction rates. Further, the settings used for these parameters vary across research groups, prohibiting effective cross-comparisons. This review summarizes and evaluates the clinical trial literature that can serve as input or validation for in silico models of bone remodeling incorporating cells and cytokine dynamics in post-menopausal women in treatment, and control scenarios. The GRADE system was used to determine the level of confidence in the reported data, and areas lacking in reported measures such as binding site occupancy, reaction rates and cell proliferation, differentiation and apoptosis rates were highlighted as targets for further research. We propose a consensus for the range of values that can be used for the cell and cytokine settings related to the RANKL-RANK-OPG, TGF-β and sclerostin pathways and a Levels of Evidence-based method to estimate parameters missing from clinical trial literature.

Simulated Interventions to Ameliorate Age-Related Bone Loss Indicate the Importance of Timing

Bone remodeling is the continuous process of bone resorption by osteoclasts and bone formation by osteoblasts, in order to maintain homeostasis. The activity of osteoclasts and osteoblasts is regulated by a network of signaling pathways, including Wnt, parathyroid hormone (PTH), RANKL/OPG and TGF-β, in response to stimuli such as mechanical loading. During aging there is a gradual loss of bone mass due to dysregulation of signaling pathways. This may be due to a decline in physical activity with age and/or changes in hormones and other signaling molecules. In particular, hormones such as PTH have a circadian rhythm which may be disrupted in aging. Due to the complexity of the molecular and cellular networks involved in bone remodeling, several mathematical models have been proposed to aid understanding of the processes involved. However, to date there are no models which explicitly consider the effects of mechanical loading, the circadian rhythm of PTH and the dynamics of signaling molecules on bone remodeling. Therefore, we have constructed a network model of the system using a modular approach which will allow further modifications as required in future research. The model was used to simulate the effects of mechanical loading and also the effects of different interventions such as continuous or intermittent administration of PTH. Our model predicts that the absence of regular mechanical loading and/or an impaired PTH circadian rhythm leads to a gradual decrease in bone mass over time which can be restored by simulated interventions and that the effectiveness of some interventions may depend on their timing.

Dynamic Biochemical and Cellular Models of Bone Physiology: Integrating Remodeling Processes, Tumor Growth, and Therapy

Bone is an activeCoelho, Rui M.  Neto, Joana P. connective tissue composed of different types of cells. The dynamic behavior of bone remodeling processes is typically represented throughValério, Duarte differential equations, which represent the physiological phenomena occurring in this organ. These models takeVinga, Susana into account the tight biochemical regulation between osteoclasts and osteoblasts and have also been enriched with variables and parameters related to bone pathologies and treatment. This chapter reviews some of the more recent models describing bone physiology, focusing on those that include the main cellular processes, along the biochemical control, and also the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) of the most common treatments for diseases such as cancer. These models are then compared in terms of the simulations obtained and, finally, some highlights on integrating them with the biomechanical component of the system which will be given. These models are expected to provide a valuable insight into this complex system and to support the development of clinical decision systems for bone pathologies.

Dynamics of Bone Cell Interactions and Differential Responses to PTH and Antibody-Based Therapies

We propose a mathematical model describing the dynamics of osteoblasts and osteoclasts in bone remodeling. The goal of this work is to develop an integrated modeling framework for bone remodeling and bone cell signaling dynamics that could be used to explore qualitatively combination treatments for osteoporosis in humans. The model has been calibrated using 57 checks from the literature. Specific global optimization methods based on qualitative objectives have been developed to perform the model calibration. We also added pharmacokinetics representations of three drugs to the model, which are teriparatide (PTH(1–34)), denosumab (a RANKL antibody) and romosozumab (a sclerostin antibody), achieving excellent goodness-of-fit of human clinical data. The model reproduces the paradoxical effects of PTH on the bone mass, where continuous administration of PTH results in bone loss but intermittent administration of PTH leads to bone gain, thus proposing an explanation of this phenomenon. We used the model to simulate different categories of osteoporosis. The main attributes of each disease are qualitatively well captured by the model, for example changes in bone turnover in the disease states. We explored dosing regimens for each disease based on the combination of denosumab and romosozumab, identifying adequate ratios and doses of both drugs for subpopulations of patients in function of categories of osteoporosis and the degree of severity of the disease.

Mathematical modeling of postmenopausal osteoporosis and its treatment by the anti‐catabolic drug denosumab

SUMMARY Denosumab, a fully human monoclonal antibody, has been approved for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis. The therapeutic effect of denosumab rests on its ability to inhibit osteoclast differentiation. Here, we present a computational approach on the basis of coupling a pharmacokinetics model of denosumab with a pharmacodynamics model for quantifying the effect of denosumab on bone remodeling. The pharmacodynamics model comprises an integrated systems biology‐continuum micromechanics approach, including a bone cell population model, considering the governing biochemical factors of bone remodeling (including the action of denosumab), and a multiscale micromechanics‐based bone mechanics model, for implementing the mechanobiology of bone remodeling in our model. Numerical studies of postmenopausal osteoporosis show that denosumab suppresses osteoclast differentiation, thus strongly curtailing bone resorption. Simulation results also suggest that denosumab may trigger a short‐term bone volume gain, which is, however, followed by constant or decreasing bone volume. This evolution is accompanied by a dramatic decrease of the bone turnover rate by more than one order of magnitude. The latter proposes dominant occurrence of secondary mineralization (which is not anymore impeded through cellular activity), leading to higher mineral concentration per bone volume. This explains the overall higher bone mineral density observed in denosumab‐related clinical studies. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Application of a Systems Pharmacology‐Based Placebo Population Model to Analyze Long‐Term Data of Postmenopausal Osteoporosis

Osteoporosis is a progressive bone disease characterized by decreased bone mass resulting in increased fracture risk. The objective of this investigation was to test whether a recently developed dise...

Complex Dynamics of Osteoclast Formation and Death in Long-Term Cultures

BackgroundOsteoclasts, cells responsible for bone resorption, contribute to the development of degenerative, metabolic and neoplastic bone diseases, which are often characterized by persistent changes in bone microenvironment. We aimed to investigate the dynamics of osteoclast formation and death in cultures that considerably exceeded the length of standard protocol and to design a mathematical model describing osteoclastogenesis.Methodology/Principal FindingsRAW 264.7 monocytic cells fuse to form multinucleated osteoclasts upon treatment with pro-resorptive cytokine RANKL. We have found that in long-term experiments (15–26 days), the dynamics of changes in osteoclast numbers was remarkably complex and qualitatively variable in different experiments. Whereas 19 of 46 experiments exhibited single peak of osteoclast formation, in 27 experiments we observed development of successive waves of osteoclast formation and death. Periodic changes in osteoclast numbers were confirmed in long-term cultures of mouse bone marrow cells treated with M-CSF and RANKL. Because the dynamics of changes in osteoclast numbers was found to be largely independent of monocytes, a two-species model of ordinary differential equations describing the changes in osteoclasts and monocytes was ineffective in recapitulating the oscillations in osteoclast numbers. Following experimental observation that medium collected from mature osteoclasts inhibited osteoclastogenesis in fresh cultures, we introduced a third variable, factor f, to describe osteoclast-derived inhibitor. This model allowed us to simulate the oscillatory changes in osteoclasts, which were coupled to oscillatory changes in the factor f, whereas monocytes changed exponentially. Importantly, to achieve the experimentally observed oscillations with increasing amplitude, we also had to assume that osteoclast presence stimulates osteoclast formation.Conclusions/SignificanceThis study identifies the critical role for osteoclast autocrine regulation in controlling long-term dynamic of osteoclast formation and death and describes the complementary roles for negative and positive feedback mediators in determining the sharp dynamics of activation and inactivation of osteoclasts.

The Cellular Dynamics of Bone Remodeling: A Mathematical Model

The mechanical properties of vertebrate bone are largely determined by a process which involves the complex interplay of three different cell types. This process is called bone remodeling and occurs asynchronously at multiple sites in the mature skeleton. The cells involved are bone resorbing osteoclasts, bone matrix producing osteoblasts, and mechanosensing osteocytes. These cells communicate with each other by means of autocrine and paracrine signaling factors and operate in complex entities, the so-called bone multicellular units (BMUs). To investigate the BMU dynamics in silico, we develop a novel mathematical model resulting in a system of nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with time delays. The model describes the osteoblast and osteoclast populations together with the dynamics of the key messenger molecule RANKL and its decoy receptor OPG. Scaling theory is used to address parameter sensitivity and predict the emergence of pathological remodeling regimes. The model is studied numerically in one and two space dimensions using finite difference schemes in space and explicit delay equation solvers in time. The computational results are in agreement with in vivo observations and provide new insights into the role of the RANKL/OPG pathway in the spatial regulation of bone remodeling.

Mathematical Model of Bone Remodeling Captures the Antiresorptive and Anabolic Actions of Various Therapies

A better understanding of the molecular pathways regulating the bone remodeling process should help in the development of new antiresorptive regulators and anabolic regulators, that is, regulators of bone resorption and of bone formation. Understanding the mechanisms by which parathyroid hormone (PTH) influences bone formation and how it switches from anabolic to catabolic action is important for treating osteoporosis (Poole and Reeve in Curr Opin Pharmacol 5:612–617, 2005). In this paper we describe a mathematical model of bone remodeling that incorporates, extends, and integrates several models of particular aspects of this biochemical system (Cabal et al. in J Bone Miner Res 28(8):1830–1836, 2013; Lemaire et al. in J Theor Biol 229:293–309, 2004; Peterson and Riggs in Bone 46:49–63, 2010; Raposo et al. in J Clin Endocrinol Metab 87(9):4330–4340, 2002; Ross et al. in J Disc Cont Dyn Sys Series B 17(6):2185–2200, 2012). We plan to use this model as a bone homeostasis platform to develop anabolic and antiresorptive compounds. The model will allow us to test hypotheses about the dynamics of compounds and to test the potential benefits of combination therapies. At the core of the model is the idealized account of osteoclast and osteoblast signaling given by Lemaire et al. (J Theor Biol 229:293–309, 2004). We have relaxed some of their assumptions about the roles of osteoprotegerin, transforming growth factor $$\upbeta $$, and receptor activator of nuclear factor $$\upkappa $$B ligand; we have devised more detailed models of the interactions of these species. We have incorporated a model of the effect of calcium sensing receptor antagonists on remodeling (Cabal et al. in J Bone Miner Res 28(8):1830–1836, 2013). We have also incorporated a basic model of the effects of vitamin D on calcium homeostasis. We have included a simple model of the mechanism proposed by Bellido et al. (2003), Ross et al. (J Disc Cont Dyn Sys Series B 17(6):2185–2200, 2012), of the influence of PTH on osteoblast apoptosis, a mechanism that accounts for the anabolic response to pulsatile PTH administration. Finally, we have devised a simple model of the administration and effects of bisphosphonates. The biomarkers in the model are procollagen type 1 amino-terminal propeptide and C-terminal telopeptide. Bone mineral density is the model’s principal endpoint.