







In silico simulations aim to provide fast, inexpensive, and ethical alternatives to years of costly experimentation on animals and humans for studying bone remodeling, its deregulation during osteoporosis and the effect of therapeutics. Within the varied spectrum of in silico modeling techniques, bone cell population dynamics and agent-based multiphysics simulations have recently emerged as useful tools to simulate the effect of specific signaling pathways. In these models, parameters for cell and cytokine behavior are set based on experimental values found in literature; however, their use is currently limited by the lack of clinical in vivo data on cell numbers and their behavior as well as cytokine concentrations, diffusion, decay and reaction rates. Further, the settings used for these parameters vary across research groups, prohibiting effective cross-comparisons. This review summarizes and evaluates the clinical trial literature that can serve as input or validation for in silico models of bone remodeling incorporating cells and cytokine dynamics in post-menopausal women in treatment, and control scenarios. The GRADE system was used to determine the level of confidence in the reported data, and areas lacking in reported measures such as binding site occupancy, reaction rates and cell proliferation, differentiation and apoptosis rates were highlighted as targets for further research. We propose a consensus for the range of values that can be used for the cell and cytokine settings related to the RANKL-RANK-OPG, TGF-β and sclerostin pathways and a Levels of Evidence-based method to estimate parameters missing from clinical trial literature.
Ten‐Year Simulation of the Effects of Denosumab on Bone Remodeling in Human Biopsies
ABSTRACT Postmenopausal osteoporosis is a disease manifesting in degradation of bone mass and microarchitecture, leading to weakening and increased risk of fracture. Clinical trials are an essential tool for evaluating new treatments and may provide further mechanistic understanding of their effects in vivo. However, the histomorphometry from clinical trials is limited to 2D images and reflects single time points. Biochemical markers of bone turnover give global insight into a drug's action, but not the local dynamics of the bone remodeling process and the cells involved. Additionally, comparative trials necessitate separate treatment groups, meaning only aggregated measures can be compared. In this study, in silico modeling based on histomorphometry and pharmacokinetic data was used to assess the effects of treatment versus control on μCT scans of the same biopsy samples over time, matching the changes in bone volume fraction observed in biopsies from denosumab and placebo groups through year 10 of the FREEDOM Extension trial. In the simulation, treatment decreased osteoclast number, which led to a modest increase in trabecular thickness and osteocyte stress shielding. Long‐term bone turnover suppression led to increased RANKL production, followed by a small increase in osteoclast number at the end of the 6‐month–dosing interval, especially at the end of the Extension study. Lack of treatment led to a significant loss of bone mass and structure. The study's results show how in silico models can generate predictions of denosumab cellular action over a 10‐year period, matching static and dynamic morphometric measures assessed in clinical biopsies. The use of in silico models with clinical trial data can be a method to gain further insight into fundamental bone biology and how treatments can perturb this. With rigorous validation, such models could be used for informing the design of clinical trials, such that the number of participants could be reduced to a minimum to show efficacy. © 2021 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
In silico experiments of bone remodeling explore metabolic diseases and their drug treatment
In silico experiments of bone remodeling enable observation and prediction of physiological and pathological bone conditions. , Bone structure and function are maintained by well-regulated bone metabolism and remodeling. Although the underlying molecular and cellular mechanisms are now being understood, physiological and pathological states of bone are still difficult to predict due to the complexity of intercellular signaling. We have now developed a novel in silico experimental platform, V-Bone, to integratively explore bone remodeling by linking complex microscopic molecular/cellular interactions to macroscopic tissue/organ adaptations. Mechano-biochemical couplings modeled in V-Bone relate bone adaptation to mechanical loading and reproduce metabolic bone diseases such as osteoporosis and osteopetrosis. V-Bone also enables in silico perturbation on a specific signaling molecule to observe bone metabolic dynamics over time. We also demonstrate that this platform provides a powerful way to predict in silico therapeutic effects of drugs against metabolic bone diseases. We anticipate that these in silico experiments will substantially accelerate research into bone metabolism and remodeling.

Mathematical modeling of postmenopausal osteoporosis and its treatment by the anti‐catabolic drug denosumab
SUMMARY Denosumab, a fully human monoclonal antibody, has been approved for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis. The therapeutic effect of denosumab rests on its ability to inhibit osteoclast differentiation. Here, we present a computational approach on the basis of coupling a pharmacokinetics model of denosumab with a pharmacodynamics model for quantifying the effect of denosumab on bone remodeling. The pharmacodynamics model comprises an integrated systems biology‐continuum micromechanics approach, including a bone cell population model, considering the governing biochemical factors of bone remodeling (including the action of denosumab), and a multiscale micromechanics‐based bone mechanics model, for implementing the mechanobiology of bone remodeling in our model. Numerical studies of postmenopausal osteoporosis show that denosumab suppresses osteoclast differentiation, thus strongly curtailing bone resorption. Simulation results also suggest that denosumab may trigger a short‐term bone volume gain, which is, however, followed by constant or decreasing bone volume. This evolution is accompanied by a dramatic decrease of the bone turnover rate by more than one order of magnitude. The latter proposes dominant occurrence of secondary mineralization (which is not anymore impeded through cellular activity), leading to higher mineral concentration per bone volume. This explains the overall higher bone mineral density observed in denosumab‐related clinical studies. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

<i>In silico</i> models of bone remodeling from macro to nano—from organ to cell
Abstract Computational modeling is a tool through which researchers can achieve a greater understanding of the mechanisms governing biological systems. In the field of bone biology, a plethora of models exist which attempt to replicate and investigate bone's dynamic behavior at different scales. At organ level, models are continuum based and describe the variation of bone's apparent density as a function of both biological and external mechanical stimuli. At tissue level, models include bone microarchitecture and more descriptive parameters such as trabecular thickness, osteoclast resorption depth, and activation frequency. Finally, at cell level, models employ partial differential equations to describe complex cellular interactions in the temporal domain. Although informative, these models exist in isolation. Consequently, their interpretation is limited. In this review, we present an overview of the organ‐, tissue‐, and cell‐level models and assess their ability to reflect bone's metabolic processes reliably. Existing interscale synergies are then presented along with a computational framework which could be exploited to achieve a fully integrated, multiscale modeling approach. WIREs Syst Biol Med 2011 3 241–251 DOI: 10.1002/wsbm.115 This article is categorized under: Analytical and Computational Methods > Computational Methods Models of Systems Properties and Processes > Organ, Tissue, and Physiological Models

Application of a mechanism-based disease systems model for osteoporosis to clinical data
A recently proposed mechanism-based disease systems model for osteoporosis (Schmidt et al., J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn 38:873–900, 2011) was applied to clinical data from post-menopausal women (n = 767) receiving various doses of the selective estrogen receptor modulator tibolone. Plasma bone-specific alkaline phosphatase activity and urinary N-telopeptide were used as biomarkers reflecting the activity of osteoblasts (bone forming cells) and osteoclasts (bone removing cells), respectively. These data were analyzed in conjunction with data on osteocalcin and on bone mineral density (BMD) (both lumbar spine and total hip), which reflect the activity of both cell types. While the dynamics of bone turnover markers changes rapidly, closely following changes in the activity of bone cells, changes in BMD are slower and have their own dynamics. Application of the mechanism-based disease systems model to the clinical data allowed for an adequate description of the data and yielded parameter estimates that are consistent with physiological values reported in the literature (Lemaire et al., J Theor Biol 229:293–309, 2004). The fitted model enabled characterization of (i) the critical time scales involved in disease progression, (ii) the dynamics of the system during onset and offset of the therapeutic intervention, and (iii) the distinction between responders and low-responders to tibolone treatment.

Dynamics of Bone Cell Interactions and Differential Responses to PTH and Antibody-Based Therapies
We propose a mathematical model describing the dynamics of osteoblasts and osteoclasts in bone remodeling. The goal of this work is to develop an integrated modeling framework for bone remodeling and bone cell signaling dynamics that could be used to explore qualitatively combination treatments for osteoporosis in humans. The model has been calibrated using 57 checks from the literature. Specific global optimization methods based on qualitative objectives have been developed to perform the model calibration. We also added pharmacokinetics representations of three drugs to the model, which are teriparatide (PTH(1–34)), denosumab (a RANKL antibody) and romosozumab (a sclerostin antibody), achieving excellent goodness-of-fit of human clinical data. The model reproduces the paradoxical effects of PTH on the bone mass, where continuous administration of PTH results in bone loss but intermittent administration of PTH leads to bone gain, thus proposing an explanation of this phenomenon. We used the model to simulate different categories of osteoporosis. The main attributes of each disease are qualitatively well captured by the model, for example changes in bone turnover in the disease states. We explored dosing regimens for each disease based on the combination of denosumab and romosozumab, identifying adequate ratios and doses of both drugs for subpopulations of patients in function of categories of osteoporosis and the degree of severity of the disease.

Complex Dynamics of Osteoclast Formation and Death in Long-Term Cultures
BackgroundOsteoclasts, cells responsible for bone resorption, contribute to the development of degenerative, metabolic and neoplastic bone diseases, which are often characterized by persistent changes in bone microenvironment. We aimed to investigate the dynamics of osteoclast formation and death in cultures that considerably exceeded the length of standard protocol and to design a mathematical model describing osteoclastogenesis.Methodology/Principal FindingsRAW 264.7 monocytic cells fuse to form multinucleated osteoclasts upon treatment with pro-resorptive cytokine RANKL. We have found that in long-term experiments (15–26 days), the dynamics of changes in osteoclast numbers was remarkably complex and qualitatively variable in different experiments. Whereas 19 of 46 experiments exhibited single peak of osteoclast formation, in 27 experiments we observed development of successive waves of osteoclast formation and death. Periodic changes in osteoclast numbers were confirmed in long-term cultures of mouse bone marrow cells treated with M-CSF and RANKL. Because the dynamics of changes in osteoclast numbers was found to be largely independent of monocytes, a two-species model of ordinary differential equations describing the changes in osteoclasts and monocytes was ineffective in recapitulating the oscillations in osteoclast numbers. Following experimental observation that medium collected from mature osteoclasts inhibited osteoclastogenesis in fresh cultures, we introduced a third variable, factor f, to describe osteoclast-derived inhibitor. This model allowed us to simulate the oscillatory changes in osteoclasts, which were coupled to oscillatory changes in the factor f, whereas monocytes changed exponentially. Importantly, to achieve the experimentally observed oscillations with increasing amplitude, we also had to assume that osteoclast presence stimulates osteoclast formation.Conclusions/SignificanceThis study identifies the critical role for osteoclast autocrine regulation in controlling long-term dynamic of osteoclast formation and death and describes the complementary roles for negative and positive feedback mediators in determining the sharp dynamics of activation and inactivation of osteoclasts.
A review of mathematical modeling of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective
Bone remodeling is an essential physiological process in the adult skeleton. Due to the complex nature of this process, many mathematical models of bone remodeling have been developed. Each of these models has unique features, but they have underlying patterns. In this review, the authors highlight the important aspects frequently found in mathematical models for bone remodeling and discuss how and why these aspects are included when considering the physiology of the bone basic multicellular unit, which is the term used for the collection of cells responsible for bone remodeling. The review also emphasizes the view of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective. Understanding the systemic mechanisms involved in remodeling will help provide information on bone pathology associated with aging, endocrine disorders, cancers, and inflammatory conditions and enhance systems pharmacology. Furthermore, some features of the bone remodeling cycle and interactions with other organ systems that have not yet been modeled mathematically are discussed as promising future directions in the field.
Mechanobiological osteocyte feedback drives mechanostat regulation of bone in a multiscale computational model
Significant progress has been made to identify the cells and signaling molecules involved in the mechanobiological regulation of bone remodeling. It is now well accepted that osteocytes act as mechanosensory cells in bone expressing several signaling molecules such as nitric oxide (NO) and sclerostin (Scl) which are able to control bone remodeling responses. In this paper, we present a comprehensive multiscale computational model of bone remodeling which incorporates biochemical osteocyte feedback. The mechanostat theory is quantitatively incorporated into the model using mechanical feedback to control expression levels of NO and Scl. The catabolic signaling pathway RANK–RANKL–OPG is co-regulated via (continuous) PTH and NO, while the anabolic Wnt signaling pathway is described via competitive binding reactions between Wnt, Scl and the Wnt receptors LRP5/6. Using this novel model of bone remodeling, we investigate the effects of changes in the mechanical loading and hormonal environment on bone balance. Our numerical simulations show that we can calibrate the mechanostat anabolic and catabolic regulatory mechanisms so that they are mutually exclusive. This is consistent with previous models that use a Wolff-type law to regulate bone resorption and formation separately. Furthermore, mechanical feedback provides an effective mechanism to obtain physiological bone loss responses due to mechanical disuse and/or osteoporosis.

A review of mathematical modeling of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective
Bone remodeling is an essential, delicately balanced physiological process of coordinated activity of bone cells that remove and deposit new bone tissue in the adult skeleton. Due to the complex nature of this process, many mathematical models of bone remodeling have been developed. Each of these models has unique features, but they have underlying patterns. In this review, the authors highlight the important aspects frequently found in mathematical models for bone remodeling and discuss how and why these aspects are included when considering the physiology of the bone basic multicellular unit, which is the term used for the collection of cells responsible for bone remodeling. The review also emphasizes the view of bone remodeling from a systems biology perspective. Understanding the systemic mechanisms involved in remodeling will help provide information on bone pathology associated with aging, endocrine disorders, cancers, and inflammatory conditions and enhance systems pharmacology. Furthermore, some features of the bone remodeling cycle and interactions with other organ systems that have not yet been modeled mathematically are discussed as promising future directions in the field.

Disease Systems Analysis of Bone Mineral Density and Bone Turnover Markers in Response to Alendronate, Placebo, and Washout in Postmenopausal Women
A previously established mechanism‐based disease systems model for osteoporosis that is based on a mathematically reduced version of a model describing the interactions between osteoclast (bone removing) and osteoblast (bone forming) cells in bone remodeling has been applied to clinical data from women ( n = 1,379) receiving different doses and treatment regimens of alendronate, placebo, and washout. The changes in the biomarkers, plasma bone‐specific alkaline phosphatase activity (BSAP), urinary N‐telopeptide (NTX), lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD), and total hip BMD, were linked to the underlying mechanistic core of the model. The final model gave an accurate description of all four biomarkers for the different treatments. Simulations were used to visualize the dynamics of the underlying network and the natural disease progression upon alendronate treatment and discontinuation. These results complement the previous applications of this mechanism‐based disease systems model to data from various treatments for osteoporosis.

Mathematical Modeling of Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of a Single Bone Multicellular Unit
Abstract During bone remodeling, bone-resorbing osteoclasts and bone-forming osteoblasts are organized in bone multicellular units (BMUs), which travel at a rate of 20–40 μm/d for 6–12 mo, maintaining a cylindrical structure. However, the interplay of local BMU geometry with biochemical regulation is poorly understood. We developed a mathematical model of BMU describing changes in time and space of the concentrations of proresorptive cytokine RANKL and its inhibitor osteoprotegerin (OPG), in osteoclast and osteoblast numbers, and in bone mass. We assumed that osteocytes surrounding a microfracture produce RANKL, which attracted osteoclasts. OPG and RANKL were produced by osteoblasts and diffused through bone, RANKL was eliminated by binding to OPG and RANK. Osteoblasts were coupled to osteoclasts through paracrine factors. The evolution of the BMU arising from this model was studied using numerical simulations. Our model recapitulated the spatio-temporal dynamics observed in vivo in a cross-section of bone. In response to a RANKL field, osteoclasts moved as a well-confined cutting cone. The coupling of osteoclasts to osteoblasts allowed for sufficient recruitment of osteoblasts to the resorbed surfaces. The RANKL field was the highest at the microfracture in front of the BMU, whereas the OPG field peaked at the back of the BMU, resulting in the formation of a RANKL/OPG gradient, which strongly affected the rate of BMU progression and its size. Thus, the spatial organization of a BMU provides important constraints on the roles of RANKL and OPG as well as possibly other regulators in determining the outcome of remodeling in the BMU.

The Role of Osteocytes in Targeted Bone Remodeling: A Mathematical Model
Until recently many studies of bone remodeling at the cellular level have focused on the behavior of mature osteoblasts and osteoclasts, and their respective precursor cells, with the role of osteocytes and bone lining cells left largely unexplored. This is particularly true with respect to the mathematical modeling of bone remodeling. However, there is increasing evidence that osteocytes play important roles in the cycle of targeted bone remodeling, in serving as a significant source of RANKL to support osteoclastogenesis, and in secreting the bone formation inhibitor sclerostin. Moreover, there is also increasing interest in sclerostin, an osteocyte-secreted bone formation inhibitor, and its role in regulating local response to changes in the bone microenvironment. Here we develop a cell population model of bone remodeling that includes the role of osteocytes, sclerostin, and allows for the possibility of RANKL expression by osteocyte cell populations. We have aimed to give a simple, yet still tractable, model that remains faithful to the underlying system based on the known literature. This model extends and complements many of the existing mathematical models for bone remodeling, but can be used to explore aspects of the process of bone remodeling that were previously beyond the scope of prior modeling work. Through numerical simulations we demonstrate that our model can be used to explore theoretically many of the qualitative features of the role of osteocytes in bone biology as presented in recent literature.
Coping with time scales in disease systems analysis: application to bone remodeling
In this study we demonstrate the added value of mathematical model reduction for characterizing complex dynamic systems using bone remodeling as an example. We show that for the given parameter values, the mechanistic RANK-RANKL-OPG pathway model proposed by Lemaire et al. (J Theor Biol 229:293–309, 2004) can be reduced to a simpler model, which can describe the dynamics of the full Lemaire model to very good approximation. The response of both models to changes in the underlying physiology and therapeutic interventions was evaluated in four physiologically meaningful scenarios: (i) estrogen deficiency/estrogen replacement therapy, (ii) Vitamin D deficiency, (iii) ageing, and (iv) chronic glucocorticoid treatment and its cessation. It was found that on the time scale of disease progression and therapeutic intervention, the models showed negligible differences in their dynamic properties and were both suitable for characterizing the impact of estrogen deficiency and estrogen replacement therapy, Vitamin D deficiency, ageing, and chronic glucocorticoid treatment and its cessation on bone forming (osteoblasts) and bone resorbing (osteoclasts) cells. It was also demonstrated how the simpler model could help in elucidating qualitative properties of the observed dynamics, such as the absence of overshoot and rebound, and the different dynamics of onset and washout.

Modeling osteoporosis to design and optimize pharmacological therapies comprising multiple drug types
For the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis, several drug classes with different mechanisms of action are available. Since only a limited set of dosing regimens and drug combinations can be tested in clinical trials, it is currently unclear whether common medication strategies achieve optimal bone mineral density gains or are outperformed by alternative dosing schemes and combination therapies that have not been explored so far. Here, we develop a mathematical framework of drug interventions for postmenopausal osteoporosis that unifies fundamental mechanisms of bone remodeling and the mechanisms of action of four drug classes: bisphosphonates, parathyroid hormone analogs, sclerostin inhibitors, and receptor activator of NF-κB ligand inhibitors. Using data from several clinical trials, we calibrate and validate the model, demonstrating its predictive capacity for complex medication scenarios, including sequential and parallel drug combinations. Via simulations, we reveal that there is a large potential to improve gains in bone mineral density by exploiting synergistic interactions between different drug classes, without increasing the total amount of drug administered.
Pharmacometrics and systems pharmacology for metabolic bone diseases
Mathematical modelling and simulation (M&S) of drug concentrations, pharmacologic effects and the (patho)physiologic systems within which they interact can be powerful tools for the preclinical, translational and clinical development of drugs. Indeed, the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA VI), incorporated as part of the FDA Reauthorization Act of 2017 (FDARA), highlights the goal of advancing model‐informed drug development (MIDD). MIDD can benefit development across many drug classes, including for metabolic bone diseases such as osteoporosis, cancer‐related and numerous rare metabolic bone diseases; conditions characterized by significant morbidity and mortality. A drought looms in terms of the availability of new drugs to better treat these devastating diseases. This review provides an overview of several M&S approaches ranging from simple pharmacokinetic to integrated pharmacometric and systems pharmacology modelling. Examples are included to illustrate the use of these approaches during the development of several drugs for metabolic bone diseases such as bisphosphonates, denosumab, teriparatide and sclerostin inhibitors (romosozumab and blosozumab).
