Predict the next UK General Election result with our custom Nowcast tool. Enter party vote shares to get instant seat projections and constituency-level results.
Election Maps UK (@electionmaps.uk)
Current Nowcast Projection for Clacton: ➡️ RFM: 48.5% (+2.3) 🌳 CON: 19.2% (-8.7) ◼️ RES: 12.0% (New) 🌍 GRN: 8.2% (+4.0) 🌹 LAB: 6.2% (-10.0) 🔶 LDM: 4.6% (+0.2) electionmaps.uk/nowcast
Victorian state election 2026 candidates — sourced tracker — Australian Election Tracker
Victorian election 2026 candidate tracker: independently sourced announced, endorsed and nominated candidacies across 88 Assembly districts and 8 Council regions. Open JSON/CSV — not the VEC, not a forecast.
The Performance of the Polls in the 2019 General Election - British Polling Council
The Performance of the Polls in the 2019 General Election
Results of the 2022 Victorian state election (Legislative Council)
This is a list of results in the Legislative Council for the 2022 Victorian state election.
Victorian Election Polls 2026: The Third Corner
Updated 16 October 2026: the Coalition leads 53.9–46.1 across the eleven Victorian polls since the change of Premier, with One Nation on 22.7 per cent.
Legislative Council Preview - VIC Election 2026
Victoria Legislative Council Preview - VIC Election 2026
Poll tracker – VIC 2026 state election – The Swing Is On
Victorian state primary vote polling since the 2022 election.
2026 Victorian state election
A general election is scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. All 88 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 40 seats in the Legislative Council will be up for election.
An Assessment of the Causes of the Errors in the 2015 UK Gseneral Election Opinion Polls
Summary The opinion polls that were undertaken before the 2015 UK general election underestimated the Conservative lead over Labour by an average of 7 percentage points. This collective failure led politicians and commentators to question the validity and utility of political polling and raised concerns regarding a broader public loss of confidence in survey research. We assess the likely causes of the 2015 polling errors. We begin by setting out a formal account of the statistical methodology and assumptions that are required for valid estimation of party vote shares by using quota sampling. We then describe the current approach of polling organizations for estimating sampling variability and suggest a new method based on bootstrap resampling. Next, we use poll microdata to assess the plausibility of different explanations of the polling errors. Our conclusion is that the primary cause of the polling errors in 2015 was unrepresentative sampling.
IFES Election Guide | Elections: French National Assembly 2024 Round 1
Victorian election 2026
The Victorian state election on 28 November 2026 is a chance for Victorian decision-makers to take action so all Victorian renters can live with dignity in safe, secure and affordable homes.We’re calling on all political parties and candidates, both current and incoming, to commit to stronger protections for the 2 million Victorians who rent their homes.
Sign up to ASRC's 2026 Victorian State Election campaign
Sign up for ASRC's election updates. Together, we can keep Victoria a welcoming community, built on hope and not divided by hate.
Election polling errors across time and space
Are election polling misses becoming more prevalent? Are they more likely in some contexts than others? Here we undertake an over-time and cross-national assessment of prediction errors in pre-election polls. Our analysis draws on more than 30,000 national polls from 351 general elections in 45 countries between 1942 and 2017. We proceed in the following way. First, building on previous studies, we show how errors in national polls evolve in a structured way over the election timeline. Second, we examine errors in polls in the final week of the election campaign to assess performance across election years. Third, we undertake a pooled analysis of polling errors—controlling for a number of institutional and party features—that enables us to test whether poll errors have increased or decreased over time. We find that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the recent performance of polls has not been outside the ordinary. However, the performance of polls does vary across political contexts and in understandable ways.
Seat Details - Holborn and St Pancras
The table below shows some political and demographic numerical indicators for the Holborn and St Pancras constituency, the 'London' area and nation.