Barbell strategy

Growth Equity Primer | Fund Investment Strategy

Growth Equity is an investment strategy oriented around acquiring minority stakes in late-stage, high-growth companies with expansion upside.

Perpetual futures, explained

Capital efficiency for pros, leverage for bettors, rich yields for market makers, and a dangerous failure mode.

Emergent Strategy

Part of the Emergent Strategy Series.

Having no Strategy is a Strategy in Ottawa

What I said at my recent keynote for the Ottawa Tech Investment Summit — and what the government said three days later.

The Arbitrage Principle in Financial Economics

The importance of arbitrage conditions in financial economics has been recognized since Modigliani and Miller's classic work on the financial structure of the firm. They showed that if a firm could change its market value by purely financial operations such as adjusting its debt-equity ratio, then individual shareholders and bondholders could engage in analogous portfolio transactions that would yield pure arbitrage profits. If the market was efficient enough to eliminate arbitrage profits for the individual shareholders, then it would eliminate arbitrage profits for the firm as well. Subsequently, financial economists have used arbitrage arguments to examine a variety of other issues involving asset pricing. One of the major advances in financial economics in the past two decades has been to clarify and formalize the exact meaning of "no arbitrage" and to apply this idea systematically to uncover hidden relationships in asset prices. Many important results of financial economics are based squarely on the hypothesis of no arbitrage, and it serves as one of the most basic unifying principles of the study of financial markets. In this essay we will examine some of these results.

Consumption Response to Credit Expansions: Evidence from Experimental Assignment of 45,307 Credit Lines

In a field experiment that constructs a randomized credit limit shock, participants borrow to spend 11 cents on the dollar in the first quarter and 28 cents by the third year. Effects extend to those far from the limit, those who had the new limits as available credit, and those with a liquid asset buffer. In the short-run, flexible and installment contracts are used in tandem, with unconstrained using installments more. Long-run borrowing is predominantly using installments. Near limits, participants borrow when credit expands but save out of constraints when limits are tight. Findings support a buffer-stock interpretation emphasizing precautionary saving.

Consumer Financial Decision Making: Where We’ve Been and Where We’re Going

When making purchasing decisions, consumers consider their available budget and determine what payment method they will use as well as how they will finance the purchase. Consumers must also plan for long-term consumption by considering short- and long-term savings objectives, taking into account how they will invest money saved, as well as how they will borrow needed money and repay outstanding loans. This issue of the Journal of Association of Consumer Research explores financial decision making, which we define as the accumulation and use of resources across time, as reflected by consumers’ behavior and choices.

A Yale Professor’s Investment Formula Says You Need More Stocks. See How It Works.

A new way to allocate assets in your portfolio takes another look at factors like age, income and risk tolerance—whether you are young, middle-aged or retired.

Disclosing the costs of co-holding liquid assets and high-interest debt has limited impact on behavior

Why do consumers simultaneously maintain low-yield liquid assets and high-interest revolving debt? This behavior, known as "co-holding," affects 23% o

Keeping Cash and Revolving Debt: How Consumers' Preference for Spending on Debit versus Credit Influences their Decision to Co-Hold

This paper investigates "co-holding'"–whereby consumers simultaneously maintain low-yield liquid assets and high-interest revolving debt–through the l

The Dividend Disconnect

ABSTRACT Many individual investors, mutual funds, and institutions trade as if dividends and capital gains are disconnected attributes, not fully appreciating that dividends result in price decreases. Behavioral trading patterns (e.g., the disposition effect) are driven by price changes instead of total returns. Investors rarely reinvest dividends, and trade as if dividends are a separate, stable income stream. Analysts fail to account for the effect of dividends on price, leading to optimistic price forecasts for dividend‐paying stocks. Demand for dividends is systematically higher in periods of low interest rates and poor market performance, leading to lower returns for dividend‐paying stocks.

Hedge Funds: Even Millennium and Citadel's Losing Traders Are Hot Recruits

With talent in short supply, top firms are looking at rival loss-making portfolio managers as a rare hiring opportunity.

BOND | BOND

BOND is a global technology investment firm that supports visionary founders throughout their entire life cycle of innovation & growth.

Educating Investors about Dividends

Abstract We educate investors about the benefits of dividend reinvestment and costs of misperceiving dividends as free income. The intervention increases planned dividend reinvestment in survey responses. Using trading records, we observe a causal increase in dividend reinvestment in the field of roughly 50 cents for every euro received. This holds relative to investors’ prior behavior and various control samples. Investors who learned the most from the intervention update their trading the most. The results suggest the free dividends fallacy is a significant source of dividend demand. Our study demonstrates that simple, targeted, and focused educational interventions can affect investment behavior.

Does Saving Cause Borrowing? Implications for the Co-Holding Puzzle

Using an experiment in which 3.1 million bank customers were encouraged to save, we explore the mechanisms behind co-holding liquid savings and credit card debt. Theoretically, we first show that the joint responses of spending, saving, and borrowing to the nudge differ for different economic models of co-holding. Using machine learning techniques, we then find that the most responsive individuals reduce spending and increase their savings by 4.9% (206 USD PPP per month) while their credit card debt remains unchanged. For them, the marginal responses to the nudge are consistent with our model of co-holding for the purpose of self- or partner control.