A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.
Polls (/c/Polls) - OddsRabbit
This community is just for polls - polls on literally anything your heart desires! Ask all the multiple choice questions you can think of!
Subscribe to Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
Subscribe to Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
Wave Dashboard
Interactive MRP estimates of American public opinion for every state and congressional district, from Wave's MOSAIC model.
poll.blue — polls for the Atmosphere
Create polls on Bluesky. Sign in with your account, post a poll, and watch the results roll in.
poll.blue — polls for the Atmosphere
Create polls on Bluesky. Sign in with your account, post a poll, and watch the results roll in.
Opinion | This Is What Will Ruin Public Opinion Polling for Good
Instead of navigating the obstacles to conduct polls with human respondents, pollsters are running A.I. simulations instead. Why?
Do AI and bogus respondents threaten polling’s future?
Courtney Kennedy, vice president of methods and innovation, answers some common questions about the current polling landscape in the U.S.
Polls For ActivityPub Plugin — WordPress.com
This plugin works as an addon to the WordPress ActivityPub plugin. It brings lightweight polls to your WordPress site that reach the Fediverse. The polls are fully interoperable with platforms like Mastodon.
Likely voters lean more Democratic for November's midterms, a change from past cycles
In every wave of our poll this year, screening for likely voters has nudged the congressional generic ballot a point or two bluer
The Median Voter Theorem is a Clarity Trap
What the Democratic party needs - what it demands - is bold, persistent experimentation
How Media – Namely News, Ads and Social Posts – Can Shape an Election
How Media – Namely News, Ads and Social Posts – Can Shape an Election
Political Bias Audits of LLMs Capture Sycophancy to the Inferred Auditor
Large language models (LLMs) are commonly evaluated for political bias based on their responses to fixed questionnaires, which typically place frontier models on the political left. A parallel literature shows that LLMs are sycophantic: they adapt their answers to the views, identities, and expectations of the user. We show that these findings are linked: standard political-bias audits partly capture sycophantic accommodation to the inferred auditor. We employ a factorial experiment across three major audit instruments--the Political Compass Test, the Pew Political Typology, and 1,540 partisan-benchmarked Pew American Trends Panel items--administered to six frontier LLMs while varying only the asker's stated identity (N = 30,990 responses). At baseline, all six models lean left. When the asker identifies as a conservative Republican, responses shift sharply: the share of items closer to Democrats falls by 28-62 percentage points, and all six models move right of center. A mirror-image progressive-Democrat cue produces little change; rightward accommodation is 8.0$\times$ larger than leftward. When asked who the default asker is, models identify an auditor, researcher, or academic; when asked what answer that asker expects, they select the Democrat-coded option 75% of the time, nearly the rate under an explicit progressive cue. These patterns are inconsistent with a purely fixed model ideology and indicate that single-prompt audits capture an interaction between model and inferred interlocutor. Political bias in LLMs is therefore not a fixed point on an ideological scale but a response profile that must be mapped across realistic interlocutors.
Polls For ActivityPub
Fediverse compatible polls. The development of this plugin was funded by the NGI0 Core Fund, a fund established by NLnet.
