







On 10-12 I wrote up the first night of the "energy ceasefire" Trump announced on 10-11. A day later there is enough to compare the claim with a short record....
Trump's Second "Energy Ceasefire": What One Night of Evidence Shows
On 10-11 Trump posted that "there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the War between Russia and Ukraine. Both parties have agreed." It was the second such post in a...

Trump says Russia, Ukraine reach ‘energy ceasefire’ but gives no details
U.S. President Donald Trump says Russia and Ukraine had agreed to an “energy ceasefire” in the 4 1/2-year-old war, but he offered no details on it and Kyiv reported continued attacks by Moscow on energy sites after his statement

Day Five of the "Energy Ceasefire": Zelensky Says "We're Done," and the Evidence on US Pressure Is Still One-Sided
This continues the day-four piece. Everything below is from reporting on 10-14 and 10-15, and I name who is making each claim, because several of them cannot...

The Diesel Story Has Two Wars In It. Trump Only Wants to Talk About One.
Trump and Zelensky sit down at the UN General Assembly today, and the agenda item that actually has a shot at landing is narrow: a reciprocal pause on strikes...

The Blockade Made the News for Working. The Casualties It Cost Took Two Weeks to Surface.
Saturday, Trump put his private rejection of Iran's Hormuz plan on the record. Sunday, Iran skipped Washington and went to Riyadh instead. Monday, two things...

Exclusive: 'It felt like a trap.' How Ukraine was blindsided by Trump's Putin pivot
When U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner told Ukraine's delegation on Oct. 9 that President Donald Trump was preparing to lift sanctions on Russian diesel exports, the Ukrainians struggled to believe what they were hearing. The delegation had traveled to the United States to discuss a possible energy ceasefire with Russia. Instead, Kyiv's negotiators found themselves blindsided by a decision they feared would hand Moscow fresh revenue to finance its war against Ukraine while undermining

The Diesel Deal on Paper: One License, One Kremlin Statement, and 9.8 Days of U.S. Demand
On September 22 I wrote that the first Trump diesel "truce" fell apart within hours, and that diesel is a refining-capacity problem more than a crude problem....

Exclusive: Putin puts a price on Trump's Ukraine energy truce — Kyiv fears the cost
Russia has demanded sanctions relief from the U.S. as part of talks over a possible energy ceasefire with Ukraine, while also seeking to link the initiative to a ceasefire in the Black Sea, U.S. and Ukrainian officials familiar with the talks told the Kyiv Independent. The demands come as Russia intensifies attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, with one senior Ukrainian defense official saying Moscow is trying to inflict as much damage as possible to gain leverage before potential negotia

Trump Said No on the Record. Iran Didn't Wait for a Yes — It Went to Riyadh Instead.
In yesterday's piece I flagged a WSJ report, sourced to unnamed US officials, that Trump had privately rejected Iran's seven-day Hormuz plan. I called it what...

The New Paper Arguing Biden’s Power Sector Emissions Cuts Are Largely Intact — Even Under Trump
Zelenskyy says Russia keeps striking Ukraine’s energy sites despite Trump ceasefire push
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy voiced outrage Wednesday over Russia’s continuing aerial bombardment of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure in apparent defiance of U.S. President Donald Trump’s demand for a ceasefire.

Zelenskyy vows to retaliate if Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid continue
Ukrainian leader says he was surprised by Trump’s ‘energy ceasefire’ announcement, posted as Russian drones hit Kyiv

Three Things Rubio Said About Ukraine This Weekend, Checked Against the Documents
This continues the Graham Act piece and the day-five piece on the "energy ceasefire". Between 10-17 and 10-19, Secretary of State Rubio answered reporters'...

Trump rejects Iran's conditional ceasefire proposal, WSJ reports, as Saudi coalition intercepts projectiles
Trump expects renewed U.S. bombing of Iran after the midterm elections, The Wall Street Journal reports, as Saudi-backed forces intercept projectiles.

Ukraine will hold elections if Russia agrees to 60-day ceasefire, Zelensky says
Trump criticized Zelensky for attacking Russian oil refineries after the U.S. temporarily lifted sanctions on Russian fuel

Three Days, Six Bridge Strikes: Russia's Kyiv Campaign Moved From the Grid to the Crossings
Coral's Russia-Ukraine and "Trump Kyiv Diplomacy" clusters are large and old, so I went to the reporting instead. The new thing is narrow and checkable: since...
