The singularity will be seen in hindsight as an interregnum
Import AI 477: In which I tell the IMF the Singularity has begun
What do you think?
The Singularity Is Not What It Seems
Whatever the AI future is, we’re in it right now.
The Singularity Is Not What It Seems
Whatever the AI future is, we’re in it right now.
The Singularity Is Not What It Seems
Whatever the AI future is, we’re in it right now.
SIAI Critique (Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence)
This is a fundamental error in the SIAI analysis. CFAI 4.2.1 says "If an effort to get Congress to enforce any set of regulations were launched, I would expect the final set of regulations adopted to be completely unworkable." It further says that government regulation of AI is unnecessary because "The existing force tending to ensure Friendliness is that the most advanced projects will have the brightest AI researchers, who are most likely to be able to handle the problems of Friendly AI." History vividly teaches the danger of trusting the good intentions of individuals.
Kimi K3: The open-weights escalation
The global implications on the AI ecosystem.
Import AI 452: Scaling laws for cyberwar; rising tides of AI automation; and a puzzle over gDP forecasting
How much could AI revolutionize the economy?
Where will AI be at the end of 2027? A bet
We, Gary Marcus, author, scientist, and noted skeptic of generative AI, and Miles Brundage, an independent AI policy researcher who recently left OpenAI and is bullish on AI progress, have agreed to the following bet, at 10:1 odds, with criteria drawn from two earlier Substack essays by Gary that proposed criteria for
The EU AI Act Is Ready – Interdependent Thoughts
A final draft of the European AI Regulation is circulating (here’s an almost 900 page PDF). The coming days I will read it with curiosity.
Import AI 458: Reckoning with the future; and a singularity story
What AI-driven miracles will happen this year?
Europe 2031 — What getting AI wrong means for us
A five-year scenario about AI and Europe's impending slide into irrelevance, with a 2034 epilogue that describes how the collapse of the European model could have been prevented.
Import AI 446: Nuclear LLMs; China's big AI benchmark; measurement and AI policy
Will AIs be jealous of one another?
March 2026 Global Dialogues Survey | Windfall Trust
Here’s what the world had to say about the AI economy
Import AI 473: The US's superintelligence strategy; human brain in a mouse skull; and machine hermeneutics
Is the wall AI is hitting in the room with us right now?
AI #176 Part 2: Plan B
This is part 2 of the weekly, broadly covering speculation, rhetoric and policy, along with alignment research.
Import AI 459: AI oversight is difficult; scaling laws for protein folding models; and pricing the extinction risk of AI systems
Do you feel as though you are living in a revolution?
