







Even the experts inventing AI don’t know what will happen next.
AI and the Wisdom of Uncertainty
AI chatbots rarely say "I don't know," and neither, increasingly, do we. But we can cultivate our epistemic resilience.


AI Billionaires Are Starting to Get Scared
The world's tech billionaires are starting to moderate their rhetoric on AI automation, but that doesn't mean it's all in good faith.

AI FOR EPISTEMICS & COORDINATION
Civilization and technology have radically improved the human condition. Nonetheless, the world sometimes goes in directions which essentially nobody would prefer — e.g., nuclear arms races, unexpected financial crashes, predatory marketing, or ubiquitous political misinformation.
AI May Be Atrophying Our Brains, Professor Warns
AI may soon ruin our ability to make decisions for ourselves — an outcome that would be, one expert warns, "catastrophic."

Europe 2031 — What getting AI wrong means for us
A five-year scenario about AI and Europe's impending slide into irrelevance, with a 2034 epilogue that describes how the collapse of the European model could have been prevented.

The future belongs to those who can refute AI, not just generate with AI
Why verification, not prompting, could shape the next decade of engineering

AI is doing something weird to Science
In both good and bad ways, and it won't go away.

Being Realistic About AI Agents in 2025 - Perilous Tech
There are few predictions I can make with more certainty than that we’ll hear the word “agent” so many times in 2025 that we’ll never watch another spy movie

Valerio Capraro on Twitter / X
Our new paper shows that AI destroys the wisdom of uncertainty.The willingness to say “I don’t know” collapses from 44% to 3%.This happens even when the AI’s advice is wrong. Consequently, correct answers fall from 27% to 9%.Yes: some people who would otherwise answer… pic.twitter.com/l0YZ75IFHn— Valerio Capraro (@ValerioCapraro) August 10, 2026

AI Epistemic Risks: Emerging Mechanisms & Evidence
<p>Advances in artificial intelligence pose risks to humanity's collective capacity to form accurate beliefs, reason well, and maintain a healthy information en
Prediction: AI will make formal verification go mainstream — Martin Kleppmann’s blog
Much has been said about the effects that AI will have on software development, but there is an angle I haven’t seen talked about: I believe that AI will bring formal verification, which for decades has been a bit of a fringe pursuit, into the software engineering mainstream.
AI for science: What can it do? Can it do things? Let’s find out!
A what we’re reading spotlight


Import AI 458: Reckoning with the future; and a singularity story
What AI-driven miracles will happen this year?

AI agents pose untold risk to humanity. We must act to prevent that future | David Krueger
The pieces are falling into place for autonomous artificial intelligence. We must stop unregulated development
