We need better economic models, but we also need Congress to free itself from the self-imposed constraints of modeling on the policymaking process.
Pacing the Frontier | Gillian K. Hadfield
The Pacing the Frontier letter calls on the US government to support an international effort to build the technical and governance tools needed to protect our option to pace AI development. I and others have been working on the problem of how to build such infrastructure for ten years, including participating in dialogues on AI safety with Chinese academic colleagues during the past three. Here are my suggestions: 1. Don’t rely on off-the-shelf models like FINRA and the FDA which were built for 20th Century single-domain government expertise. They’re not fit for purpose. 2. Don’t act like no-one’s thought about the AI governance problem before. We’ve spent two years refining a regulatory markets design into working legislative language, for example, and it’s now in AI governance bills in five states and in Congress. 3. Don’t try to write an exhaustive set of rules for AGI first. 4. Pick a domain that can achieve widespread global consensus to start. Mine would be recursive self-improvement: models should not build models. Build the technology that verifies that. 5. Focus relentlessly on building flexible verification infrastructure that is able to enforce whatever rules we can ultimately agree on. 6. Don’t assume we already know how to do this and governments can just write tests into law. Technology needs to be built and by the private sector. 7. Don’t wait for the infrastructure to emerge first. The components and people are there and the ecosystem can scale fast with the right incentives. 8. Incentivize large-scale investment in verification technology by building a governance structure and industry funding that creates a market for private verification organizations. 9. Use licensing and public oversight to ensure verifiers are independent of the frontier labs. 10. Protect sovereignty by enabling each government to license its own verifiers from a global market of verifiers recognized by other countries. 11. Leverage the incentive of global trade for models and model services by requiring verification for market access. 12. Just start. Sources in comments.
Project 2025 Tracker
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