This is the third in my annual series reviewing everything that happened in the LLM space over the past 12 months. For previous years see Stuff we figured out about …
My self-sovereign / local / private / secure LLM setup, April 2026
Andrew Ho on Twitter / X
Not really observations that others before me haven’t made, but:- Despite the seemingly magical nature of LLMs, reflection over a >3 month timescale suggests my total productivity hasn’t increased by over 100%, or perhaps even by over 50%, and a lot of time is actually wasted…— Andrew Ho (@andrewho03) September 3, 2026
Public LLM exceeds superforecaster on Forecast bench by EOY 2026?
41% chance. Resolves to YES if any LLM released in 2026 exceeds the superforecaster baseline on ForecastBench by July 2027. Resolves to NO if this does not happen, or if after January 1, 2027 we have results from enough LLMs (e.g. the leading models from the major AI labs at the time) to be confident this will not occur. If The Forecasting Research Institute tells us how this market should resolve, then we will go with what they say.
Another year: 2025
For the last ten years on Christmas Day I've written a retrospective on the past year. This year's is a public post.
Welcome to 2026!
Hello Handmade Network, and happy new year! 2025 was a relatively quiet year for us where we focus…
Gap Week: March 20, 2026
Hey folks! I was traveling this week to give an invited talk at Western Michigan University, so I don’t have a blog post ready for you. That’ll also probably be the case for next week (…
Gap Week: March 20, 2026
Hey folks! I was traveling this week to give an invited talk at Western Michigan University, so I don’t have a blog post ready for you. That’ll also probably be the case for next week (…
SAHCon 2025!!!
Welcome to the virtual Homestuck Convention Hall. A single day of fun to make the world a little brighter!
crawshaw - 2026-02-08
I wrote up my experiences programming with LLMs a bit over a year ago, and updated it for the world of agents eight months ago. A lot has changed since then, so here is an update.
Some ideas for what comes next, May 2026
Gemini Flash 3.5, Mythos, open-closed balance, America's open-source surge, emerging power struggles and more.
