







As AI has escalated increasingly quickly, more and more of my posts have ended up focusing on AI.


AI #176 Part 1: Doing It Live
Enough things added up that this week is getting split into two parts.

Where will AI be at the end of 2027? A bet
We, Gary Marcus, author, scientist, and noted skeptic of generative AI, and Miles Brundage, an independent AI policy researcher who recently left OpenAI and is bullish on AI progress, have agreed to the following bet, at 10:1 odds, with criteria drawn from two earlier Substack essays by Gary that proposed criteria for

Want to understand the current state of AI? Check out these charts.
According to Stanford’s 2026 AI Index, AI is sprinting, and we’re struggling to keep up.


When will average people feel AI’s impact?
We’re <5 years into a compounding revolution which could take a century, and how the AI industry should manage this.

Suhail on Twitter / X
Oh, this is coming back in such a big way this year with AI. We were a bit too early.Remember: Browser = OS pic.twitter.com/YoMaS8cjmI— Suhail (@Suhail) June 23, 2025

Is there something it is like to be an AI?
Posted on Wednesday 2 Jul 2025. 1,593 words, 6 links. By Matt Webb.

The Scaling Era: An Oral History of AI, 2019–2025
An inside view of the AI revolution, from the people an…

25 AI Predictions for 2025, from Marcus on AI
With a review of last year’s predictions

AI Dry July: Aborted
Reflections on trying to go a month without AI. I made it two weeks (sort of). 5.2k words, 23 minutes reading time.

The 2026 AI Index Report | Stanford HAI
Get the latest news, advances in research, policy work, and education program updates from HAI in your inbox weekly.

The Scaling Era: An Oral History of AI, 2019–2025
An inside view of the AI revolution, from the people and companies making it happen.

Monthly Roundup #44: July 2026
It’s a quiet week so let’s do the monthly right on schedule.
