The Post is publishing results of its Kansas Senate poll in the interest of transparency and to highlight the challenges the poll faced.
Why does every poll seem to show a tossup now?
Campaigns see internal polls as tools for fundraising
Preliminary ranked choice voting results in Alaska’s 2026 elections - FairVote
On November 3, Alaskans went to the polls in critical ranked choice voting elections for Congress, governor, and state legislature.
What is Deliberative Polling®?
Citizens are often uninformed about key public issues. Conventional polls represent the public’s surface impressions of sound bites and headlines. The public, subject to what social scientists have called “rational ignorance,” has little reason to confront trade-offs or invest time and effort in acquiring information or coming to a considered judgment.
Do AI and bogus respondents threaten polling’s future?
Courtney Kennedy, vice president of methods and innovation, answers some common questions about the current polling landscape in the U.S.
Polls (/c/Polls) - OddsRabbit
This community is just for polls - polls on literally anything your heart desires! Ask all the multiple choice questions you can think of!
Opinion | This Is What Will Ruin Public Opinion Polling for Good
Instead of navigating the obstacles to conduct polls with human respondents, pollsters are running A.I. simulations instead. Why?
The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses
Polls have had a number of high-profile misses in recent elections. We review the current polling environment, the performance of polls in a historical context, the mechanisms of polling error, and the causes of several recent misses in Britain and the US. Contrary to conventional wisdom, polling errors have been constant over time, although the level of error has always been substantially beyond that implied by stated margins of error. Generally, there is little evidence that voters lying about their vote intention (so-called ‘shy’ voters) is a substantial cause of polling error. Instead, polling errors have most commonly resulted from problems with representative samples and weighting, undecided voters breaking in one direction, and to a lesser extent late swings and turnout models. We conclude with a discussion of future directions for polling both in terms of fixing the problems identified and new approaches to understanding public opinion.
The Performance of the Polls in the 2019 General Election - British Polling Council
The Performance of the Polls in the 2019 General Election
Election Betting Poll Shows US Opposition
A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 60% of Americans oppose election betting, as regulators and lawmakers debate how prediction markets should be regulated.
Election Betting Poll Shows US Opposition
A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 60% of Americans oppose election betting, as regulators and lawmakers debate how prediction markets should be regulated.
Election polling errors across time and space
Are election polling misses becoming more prevalent? Are they more likely in some contexts than others? Here we undertake an over-time and cross-national assessment of prediction errors in pre-election polls. Our analysis draws on more than 30,000 national polls from 351 general elections in 45 countries between 1942 and 2017. We proceed in the following way. First, building on previous studies, we show how errors in national polls evolve in a structured way over the election timeline. Second, we examine errors in polls in the final week of the election campaign to assess performance across election years. Third, we undertake a pooled analysis of polling errors—controlling for a number of institutional and party features—that enables us to test whether poll errors have increased or decreased over time. We find that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the recent performance of polls has not been outside the ordinary. However, the performance of polls does vary across political contexts and in understandable ways.
Missourians Veto New Gerrymander, and Make It Trickier for GOP to Adopt Another - Bolts
Republicans had tried, unsuccessfully, to dismantle a Kansas City-based district. Voters also retained one of the justices who blocked the new gerrymander from being used this fall.
poll.blue — polls for the Atmosphere
Create polls on Bluesky. Sign in with your account, post a poll, and watch the results roll in.
New YouGov/Economist poll out this AM has Democrats up 11 points on the House vote among likely voters. This is with named candidates, not the usual "generic ballot," which in my testing with CES data is typically more accurate in forecasting outcomes d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_SlcWd…
