







The open-closed gap, distillation, innovation timescales, how open models win, specialized models, what’s missing, etc.
What comes next with open models
Markets, capabilities, cope, and bewilderment in the industrialization of language models.

8 Graphs Telling Today's Story of Open Models
Open models are decelerationist - Erlend’s notes
people and planet need open models to win
Open-Source AI & Open Models Reading List
How to get up to speed on open models and their implications.

There is NO Open Source Business Model
Preface: It has been brought to my attention by friends and trusted advisors that a valid interpretation of my point below is that open…

Open models recap: more on Kimi K3, Qwen 3.8, Xi's WAIC speech, distillation, the open-closed gap, and what's next
A podcast with Florian Brand.

The Secrets of Successful Open Source Business Models
Finding the right model for your open-source startup

Latest open artifacts (#23): Laguna S2.1, Inkling, & Kimi K3 show the utility of open models on the Pareto frontier
Capacity to train strong models is proliferating.

Open and closed models are on different exponentials
Where marginally higher intelligence drives value, and where it doesn't.

There is Still NO Open Source Business Model
I wrote a blog post two years ago called There is NO Open Source Business Model. In it, I argued that open source software is really about…

The ATOM Project - American Truly Open Models
Reinvigorating AI research in the U.S. by building leading, open models in America

OpenAI to release open-source model as AI economics force strategic shift
OpenAI plans to release its first open-weight AI model since 2019 as economic pressures mount from competitors like DeepSeek and Meta, marking a significant strategic reversal for the company behind ChatGPT.

The State of Open Models
6 months to live for open models
The most serious test to date of open source AI’s viability is happening right now.

Olmo 3: Charting a path through the model flow to lead open-source AI | Ai2
Our new flagship Olmo 3 model family empowers the open source community with not only state-of-the-art open models, but the entire model flow and full traceability back to training data.
