







The AI industry's favourite 'statistic' isn't backed by data. And it distracts from what's really going on.
On the Extinction Risk from Artificial Intelligence
In this report, RAND researchers examine the threat of human extinction posed by artificial intelligence (AI). Using a scenario-based analysis to evaluate three technologies — nuclear weapons, pathogens, and geoengineering — they found that it would be immensely challenging for AI to create an extinction threat, although they could not rule out the possibility. They identify risk indicators and make recommendations to mitigate future risk.

It's the “1998” of the AI Revolution. So Why Can I Safely Ignore It?
Researchers, please get in touch with me. I can be part of your control group.

Behind the AI ‘Extinction’ Power Bid: Soaring Costs Could Hit 10% of World GDP
AI firms are invoking unproven extinction warnings to justify restrictions on developments by their smaller rivals whilst seeking greater influence over regulation


AI is doing something weird to Science
In both good and bad ways, and it won't go away.

I don’t think we are close to “AI scientists”
Today's AI agents are not designed to extract deep insights from new observations.

AI existential risk probabilities are too unreliable to inform policy
How speculation gets laundered through pseudo-quantification

AI existential risk probabilities are (still) too unreliable to inform policy
How speculation gets laundered through pseudo-quantification

Why it’s getting harder to measure AI performance
The most famous chart in AI might be obsolete soon.

Jacob Coxon Warns of Human Extinction and Triggers a Preference Cascade
CEOs of major AI labs, and employees of major AI labs, including OpenAI and Anthropic, often say they plan to build superintelligence soon, as in within a few years create AIs that are superior to humans at essentially all cognitive tasks.

Ecology is not yet ready for AI—and why that matters
Ecology is not yet ready for AI—and why that matters

Why I don’t trust most human-AI interaction experimental research – Jason Collins blog
Behavioural economics, data science and artificial intelligence.
The U.S. Census Bureau and “Super Intelligence”
I was reminded today of AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies, a chart produced by Apollo Global Management in September 2025, which appeared to show a slowdown in …

TrendLife Study Shows AI Is Moving Fast, but Consumers and Families are Being Left Behind
New study of over 10,000 consumers across 9 countries reveals worry exceeds excitement about generative AI as most lack the tools and confidence to use it safely TOKYO, May 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ --...

No. 017: Science EIC contra AI hype, data poisoning of research agents, Vancouver Standard for AI disclosure - The Hallway Track
The Hallway Track No. 017 - How AI is affecting the practice of science

The Extinction Risk Preference Cascade: Quotes
These are quotes from OpenAI, Anthropic and Google employees, in the wake of Jacob Coxon’s warnings, in which the employees confirm that they think AI might soon kill everyone.
