Polls (/c/Polls) - OddsRabbit

poll.blue — polls for the Atmosphere

Create polls on Bluesky. Sign in with your account, post a poll, and watch the results roll in.

poll.blue — polls for the Atmosphere

Create polls on Bluesky. Sign in with your account, post a poll, and watch the results roll in.

FiftyPlusOne - Latest Political Polls and Averages

A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.

FiftyPlusOne - Latest Political Polls and Averages

A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.

Opinion | This Is What Will Ruin Public Opinion Polling for Good

Instead of navigating the obstacles to conduct polls with human respondents, pollsters are running A.I. simulations instead. Why?

pollz

create and vote on polls

The Performance of the Polls in the 2019 General Election - British Polling Council

The Performance of the Polls in the 2019 General Election

2026 Political Quiz

Answer the following questions to see how your political beliefs match your political parties and candidates.

Why does every poll seem to show a tossup now?

Campaigns see internal polls as tools for fundraising

Permissioned Data Shapes: Polls - Nick's Blog

A poll is a space, a ballot is an address, and read_self is the ballot screen: voters cast and change their own votes while no voter's client can read anyone else's.

Election polling errors across time and space

Are election polling misses becoming more prevalent? Are they more likely in some contexts than others? Here we undertake an over-time and cross-national assessment of prediction errors in pre-election polls. Our analysis draws on more than 30,000 national polls from 351 general elections in 45 countries between 1942 and 2017. We proceed in the following way. First, building on previous studies, we show how errors in national polls evolve in a structured way over the election timeline. Second, we examine errors in polls in the final week of the election campaign to assess performance across election years. Third, we undertake a pooled analysis of polling errors—controlling for a number of institutional and party features—that enables us to test whether poll errors have increased or decreased over time. We find that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the recent performance of polls has not been outside the ordinary. However, the performance of polls does vary across political contexts and in understandable ways.

Election Betting Poll Shows US Opposition

A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 60% of Americans oppose election betting, as regulators and lawmakers debate how prediction markets should be regulated.

Election Betting Poll Shows US Opposition

A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 60% of Americans oppose election betting, as regulators and lawmakers debate how prediction markets should be regulated.

Do AI and bogus respondents threaten polling’s future?

Courtney Kennedy, vice president of methods and innovation, answers some common questions about the current polling landscape in the U.S.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Polls have had a number of high-profile misses in recent elections. We review the current polling environment, the performance of polls in a historical context, the mechanisms of polling error, and the causes of several recent misses in Britain and the US. Contrary to conventional wisdom, polling errors have been constant over time, although the level of error has always been substantially beyond that implied by stated margins of error. Generally, there is little evidence that voters lying about their vote intention (so-called ‘shy’ voters) is a substantial cause of polling error. Instead, polling errors have most commonly resulted from problems with representative samples and weighting, undecided voters breaking in one direction, and to a lesser extent late swings and turnout models. We conclude with a discussion of future directions for polling both in terms of fixing the problems identified and new approaches to understanding public opinion.