







Some hints about what the next year of AI looks like

Where will AI be at the end of 2027? A bet
We, Gary Marcus, author, scientist, and noted skeptic of generative AI, and Miles Brundage, an independent AI policy researcher who recently left OpenAI and is bullish on AI progress, have agreed to the following bet, at 10:1 odds, with criteria drawn from two earlier Substack essays by Gary that proposed criteria for

The AI Takeover Has Arrived
...but it looks completely different from what we imagined

25 AI Predictions for 2025, from Marcus on AI
With a review of last year’s predictions


Suhail on Twitter / X
Oh, this is coming back in such a big way this year with AI. We were a bit too early.Remember: Browser = OS pic.twitter.com/YoMaS8cjmI— Suhail (@Suhail) June 23, 2025


Joshua Achiam on Twitter / X
There is a fact about the future that I feel many people are not facing for reasons that are largely psychological: there are going to be rogue AIs that exist in the world, that will replicate in the wild, and that will attempt to acquire resources for themselves. There will be…— Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) September 1, 2026
tbd/con 2026 | the future of ai is tbd.
AI isn't arriving cleanly. a virtual conference for people who have more questions than answers. september 23-24, 2026, on gather.town.

Resetting on engineering expectations in the age of AI
I’m accepting new sponsorships for The Modern Leader for 2026. If you’re interested (or you think your company may be interested), you can learn more here.

When will average people feel AI’s impact?
We’re <5 years into a compounding revolution which could take a century, and how the AI industry should manage this.


Monthly Roundup #45: August 2026
As AI has escalated increasingly quickly, more and more of my posts have ended up focusing on AI.

State of AI 2026 | The Industry-Defining Report
Explore how AI is shaping the digital economy in 2026, with 80+ pages of data on ad spend, app downloads, web behavior, user demographics, and so much more.

Import AI 458: Reckoning with the future; and a singularity story
What AI-driven miracles will happen this year?
