New Coalition Leader Angus Taylor has led the Liberal-National Coalition back in front of One Nation on his first weekend as Liberal Leader with the Roy Morgan Poll showing primary support for the L-NP Coalition up 3.5% to 23.5%, and One Nation down 3.5% to 21.5%.
Victorian State Voting Intention: L-NP (26%) and ALP (26%) level on primary and ahead of One Nation (23.5%); however, L-NP narrowly leads ALP on two-party preferred basis (51% cf. 49%) - Roy Morgan Research
In early August the L-NP Coalition 26% (up 2% since April) and ALP 26% (up 0.5%) are level on primary vote ahead of One Nation 23.5% (down 1%) and 24.5% (down 1.5%) support Other Parties and Independents including the Greens 12.5% (down 1%), Other Parties 4% (unchanged) and Independents 8% (down 0.5%) according to a special SMS Roy Morgan Poll conducted from August 5-7, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,084 electors.
One Nation surge creates headache for the Coalition in Victoria's east
Opposition Leader Jess Wilson has campaigned in Gippsland this week, hoping to lure back voters who are turning towards a surging One Nation.
Who are the Voters Swinging to One Nation? - DemosAU
DemosAU's Federal MRP Model, released earlier this week, projects One Nation would win 12 seats (based on the model's central forecast), if the results of our
Victorian State Voting Intention: One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of ALP (25.5%) and L-NP Coalition (21.5%) on primary vote nine months before Victorian State Election - Roy Morgan Research
Only nine months before a State Election, Victorian electors are split with One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of the governing ALP (25.5%), and the official Opposition L-NP Coalition (21.5%). In addition, 13.5% support the Greens and a further 13% support other minor parties and Independents according to the special SMS Roy Morgan survey conducted from February 13-16, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,462 electors.
Victorian State Voting Intention: ALP (25.5%) holds ground and now leads One Nation (24.5%) and L-NP Coalition (24%) on primary vote in the week before the Nepean by-election - Roy Morgan Research
Only seven months before a State Election, Victorian electors continue to remain split four ways with the governing ALP 25.5% (unchanged from February 2026) now just ahead of One Nation 24.5% (down 2% points) and the L-NP Coalition 24% (up 2.5% points) and 26% (up 0.5% points) supporting Other Parties and Independents including the Greens 13.5% (unchanged), Other Parties 4% (unchanged) and Independents 8.5% (down 0.5% points according to the special SMS Roy Morgan survey conducted from April 22-24, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,707 electors.
Statistics on Preference Flows between the Coalition and One Nation
This post is additional information on preference flows related to a post I published earlier today, “Liberal, National and One Nation – Friends, Enemies or Frenemies?” With One Nation&…
ALP continues to hold an election winning lead; One Nation is highest in Western Australia and Queensland, Labor is strongest in New South Wales and South Australia - Roy Morgan Research
Over the past fortnight the ALP maintains an election winning lead with 26% (unchanged from two weeks ago) of the primary vote, ahead of One Nation on 24% (down 1.5%). The L-NP Coalition primary is 21.5% (down 1%): (18.5% Liberal, 3% Nationals); Greens 15% (unchanged) and Independent/Others 13.5% (up 2.5%).
Protest at One Nation fundraiser after Vic leader, candidates announced
One Nation reveals its upper house candidates for Victoria, with army veteran and party state president Warren Pickering set to lead the party to the upcoming state election.
Hanson explodes in clash over One Nation candidate’s drug past
The One Nation leader's interview with Chris Kenny on News24 went off the rails as she defended the party’s Victorian leader, Warren Pickering.
Candidates - One Nation Victoria
This election One Nation has achieved candidate representation right across Australia. Check out One Nation's candidates and how-to-vote suggestions here. It's time to stand up and speak out.
'I am shocked': Unpacking One Nation's spectacular rise in the polls
Pauline Hanson's One Nation has seen the fastest polling rise in modern Australian politics. What is going on?
VICTORIA, IT’S TIME TO TAKE OUR STATE BACK - One Nation Victoria
Pauline Hanson's One Nation has launched its Victorian election campaign with Warren Pickering as State Leader, offering Victorians a real alternative focused on cost of living, crime and energy.
National Young Farmers Coalition
The National Young Farmers Coalition is a farmer-led, grassroots network shifting power and changing policy to equitably resource the new generation of working farmers. We are the largest unified voice calling for farm policy that will deliver a bright future for young farmers and ranchers in the U.S.
Coalition firms for majority in Victoria as voters warm to Wilson
The Liberal and Labor leaders spent Sunday campaigning in the regions, less than 50 days out from a four-way election as One Nation and the Greens ride high.
The Pattern of One Nation support in NSW
In the near three decades I’ve been following One Nation’s election results, one thing has been constant. Whatever the party’s overall level of vote, its geographic distribution o…
One Nation is soaring in polls. Winning power is much harder.
The nationalist party is riding high, but will struggle to convert its poll leads into parliament seats