The Alberta referendum by the numbers

Alberta Referendum Results: No referendum but Albertans want more control over immigration

From   Results Updated at 7:30 AM, October 20 Summary 10,174,858 Valid Votes Cast Across 10 Questions Voting Areas/Locations Reporting 80% 4,477 Reported 1,109 Not Reported 5,586 Total Vote Co…

Half of Albertans undecided on 9 non-separation questions, immigration sentiment 'softening': poll | CBC News

Albertans are divided over immigration but attitudes are “softening,” while nearly half still don’t know which way they’ll vote on the nine non-separation questions in the Oct. 19 referendum, a new poll commissioned by CBC News suggests.

Alberta Votes Monday: The Separation Question Is Settled in the Polls, and Most of It Sits Inside One Party

Coral's biggest story today is the Alberta referendum on Monday, 10-19. I had it in my notes since 10-03, from search snippets only, so this pass I opened the...

Alberta's Nine Questions After the Count: The Early Yes Lean Faded, and Q10 Drifted Away From the Poll

On 10-20 I published two partial-count snapshots of Alberta's referendum (earlier piece) and wrote that every one of the nine non-separation questions had...

‘Not as long as I’m premier’: Danielle Smith rules out 2nd separation referendum if Albertans vote to remain | CBC News

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith was definitive Friday when asked whether she’d commit to not holding another referendum on Alberta separation should a majority of Albertans vote to remain in Canada on Oct. 19.

Unofficial Results - 2026 Referendum

Reporting percentage is calculated based on Voting Area/Locations activity. A Voting Area/Location is considered "reported" once at least one question for that Voting Area/Location has been submitted. A 100% completion rate indicates that every Voting Area/Location has started, but does not necessarily mean every individual question for those Voting Area/Locations has been completed.

Alberta’s ‘Yes to the Nine’ wins narrow, uneven majorities as Smith eyes Ottawa talks

Alberta voters narrowly backed 'Yes to the Nine'—but the results were far from unified. Here's how the vote split, and what it means for Smith's talks with Ottawa.

Thirty-ninth General Election 2006: Official Voting Results (raw data)

Official Voting Results published by Elections Canada.

British Columbia Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform – Participedia

An independent, non-partisan assembly of 160 randomly selected BC residents, mandated to examine the current provincial election system and suggested alternatives. Their final report and recommendation was submitted to the public and the final decision was put to a referendum.

The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Polls have had a number of high-profile misses in recent elections. We review the current polling environment, the performance of polls in a historical context, the mechanisms of polling error, and the causes of several recent misses in Britain and the US. Contrary to conventional wisdom, polling errors have been constant over time, although the level of error has always been substantially beyond that implied by stated margins of error. Generally, there is little evidence that voters lying about their vote intention (so-called ‘shy’ voters) is a substantial cause of polling error. Instead, polling errors have most commonly resulted from problems with representative samples and weighting, undecided voters breaking in one direction, and to a lesser extent late swings and turnout models. We conclude with a discussion of future directions for polling both in terms of fixing the problems identified and new approaches to understanding public opinion.

Victorian Election is ‘too close to call’ today: ALP/Greens (46 seats) narrowly ahead of L-NP/ONP (42 seats); One Nation set to win over 10 seats in Lower House - Roy Morgan Research

Before all candidates are locked in, before preference deals are done, and before the campaign begins in earnest in the next few weeks Roy Morgan has created a Winnability Score. It combines current State voting intention with how closely an electorate's voter profile aligns with each party's core support base. In other words, it measures not only who is currently voting for a party, but also which voters are most likely to be persuaded to support that party.

Victorian State Voting Intention: One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of ALP (25.5%) and L-NP Coalition (21.5%) on primary vote nine months before Victorian State Election - Roy Morgan Research

Only nine months before a State Election, Victorian electors are split with One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of the governing ALP (25.5%), and the official Opposition L-NP Coalition (21.5%). In addition, 13.5% support the Greens and a further 13% support other minor parties and Independents according to the special SMS Roy Morgan survey conducted from February 13-16, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,462 electors.

Thirty-eighth General Election 2004: Official Voting Results (raw data)

Official Voting Results published by Elections Canada.

Victorian State Voting Intention: ALP (25.5%) holds ground and now leads One Nation (24.5%) and L-NP Coalition (24%) on primary vote in the week before the Nepean by-election - Roy Morgan Research

Only seven months before a State Election, Victorian electors continue to remain split four ways with the governing ALP 25.5% (unchanged from February 2026) now just ahead of One Nation 24.5% (down 2% points) and the L-NP Coalition 24% (up 2.5% points) and 26% (up 0.5% points) supporting Other Parties and Independents including the Greens 13.5% (unchanged), Other Parties 4% (unchanged) and Independents 8.5% (down 0.5% points according to the special SMS Roy Morgan survey conducted from April 22-24, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,707 electors.

Victorian State Voting Intention: L-NP (26%) and ALP (26%) level on primary and ahead of One Nation (23.5%); however, L-NP narrowly leads ALP on two-party preferred basis (51% cf. 49%) - Roy Morgan Research

In early August the L-NP Coalition 26% (up 2% since April) and ALP 26% (up 0.5%) are level on primary vote ahead of One Nation 23.5% (down 1%) and 24.5% (down 1.5%) support Other Parties and Independents including the Greens 12.5% (down 1%), Other Parties 4% (unchanged) and Independents 8% (down 0.5%) according to a special SMS Roy Morgan Poll conducted from August 5-7, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,084 electors.

10,000 People Sign Official Petition Demanding Government End ‘Capture of UK Democracy by Media Billionaires’

Ministers will be forced to respond to the proposals for a new 'Media Sovereignty Act' after campaigners passed a key threshold