Our new paper shows that AI destroys the wisdom of uncertainty.The willingness to say “I don’t know” collapses from 44% to 3%.This happens even when the AI’s advice is wrong. Consequently, correct answers fall from 27% to 9%.Yes: some people who would otherwise answer… pic.twitter.com/l0YZ75IFHn— Valerio Capraro (@ValerioCapraro) August 10, 2026
AI and the Wisdom of Uncertainty
AI chatbots rarely say "I don't know," and neither, increasingly, do we. But we can cultivate our epistemic resilience.
AI Epistemic Risks: Emerging Mechanisms & Evidence
<p>Advances in artificial intelligence pose risks to humanity's collective capacity to form accurate beliefs, reason well, and maintain a healthy information en
Our Uncertain Uncertainties
Even the experts inventing AI don’t know what will happen next.
The AI Trust Gap: 82% Are Skeptical, Yet Only 8% Always Check Sources
Original Exploding Topics survey data explores public sentiment on AI Overviews and AI-generated content, highlighting trust, skepticism, and shifting content consumption habits.
"Cognitive surrender" leads AI users to abandon logical thinking, research finds
Experiments show large majorities uncritically accepting "faulty" AI answers.
David Rozado on Twitter / X
1. Have we been measuring AI political bias wrong? In a new paper @PTetlock and I argue that we might have. Studies have found that AIs tend to produce left-of-center responses to politically loaded questions. But ideological preferences are not the same as epistemic failure. pic.twitter.com/JuGrboRVb0— David Rozado (@DavidRozado) June 22, 2026
AI FOR EPISTEMICS & COORDINATION
Civilization and technology have radically improved the human condition. Nonetheless, the world sometimes goes in directions which essentially nobody would prefer — e.g., nuclear arms races, unexpected financial crashes, predatory marketing, or ubiquitous political misinformation.
AI Researchers On AI Risk
I first became interested in AI risk back around 2007. At the time, most people’s response to the topic was “Haha, come back when anyone believes this besides random Internet crackpots.…
We Asked the ‘Future of Truth’ Author to Explain How He Used AI. It Didn’t Go Well
A book about how AI shapes perceptions of reality came under fire for using AI-generated quotes. Its problems go beyond that.
Scary New Report: Just 8 Percent of People Check AI Answers
It's time to talk with your people about best practices for using artificial intelligence.
Human Intelligence, the Secret of Artificial Intelligence
Artificial intelligence is mysterious: we speak to it and it seems to understand what we say. Proof that it understands is that it responds with text or speech that makes sense, and sometimes more …
Knowledge Collapse
AI companies are racing to mechanize mathematics. Where does that leave human understanding?
AI #169: New Knowledge
Even in a relatively quiet period, AI is out there creating new knowledge.
"AI" is Automated Inequality
Tech bros still dominate the discussions about so-called "AI" with false claims. Even most "AI"-critical researchers spend much of their time meticulously debunking (always only a subset of) claims, leaving vast areas of the economic consequences of "AI" unexplored. (Even the "AI"-evangelist Economi
when somebody says "of course even I can admit that ai is good for X" X is often something *outside their area of expertise* they've heard it's good at. like, for example, protein folding. spoiler: it turns out that actually there are serious problems with using it for protein folding
John Trant
Here is a rather approachable essay on the subject just published.
