Dr. Émile P. Torres (they/them) on Twitter / X

25 AI Predictions for 2025, from Marcus on AI

With a review of last year’s predictions

Joshua Achiam on Twitter / X

There is a fact about the future that I feel many people are not facing for reasons that are largely psychological: there are going to be rogue AIs that exist in the world, that will replicate in the wild, and that will attempt to acquire resources for themselves. There will be…— Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) September 1, 2026

Where will AI be at the end of 2027? A bet

We, Gary Marcus, author, scientist, and noted skeptic of generative AI, and Miles Brundage, an independent AI policy researcher who recently left OpenAI and is bullish on AI progress, have agreed to the following bet, at 10:1 odds, with criteria drawn from two earlier Substack essays by Gary that proposed criteria for

Suhail on Twitter / X

Oh, this is coming back in such a big way this year with AI. We were a bit too early.Remember: Browser = OS pic.twitter.com/YoMaS8cjmI— Suhail (@Suhail) June 23, 2025

Why Centralized AI Is Not Our Inevitable Future

This talk was given at the O’Reilly AI Codecon on September 9th. Here’s a recording of the talk as delivered. Here’s the official recording (which had a slight technical glitch day of). https://common.tools/talks/why-centralized-ai-is-not-our-inevitable-future points here —--- Hi, I'm Alex Komoro...

Thomas Wolf on Twitter / X

wtf is this way to handle mathematicians work and scientific communicationTLDR: Leven and Tristan worked over several months on one of the Millenium Prize Problems with various AIs to reach final interesting results. OpenAI apparently heard about it in the last days and… https://t.co/zNozwkFcFO pic.twitter.com/XcefJ17AQe— Thomas Wolf (@Thom_Wolf) September 8, 2026

Companies That Replaced Humans With AI Are Realizing Their Mistake

As AI agents have yet to pay for themselves, more and more executives are waking up to the sloppy reality of AI hype.

Liron Shapira on Twitter / X

Meet the guy who invented @OpenAI's RLHF technique (https://t.co/opc5yWzi2e).His name is Dr. @PaulFChristiano, PhD Comp Sci from UC Berkeley.Paul says there's a 50% chance of doom once AI systems are human-level intelligent.So do we keep training smarter AI systems or no?🤔 pic.twitter.com/5U1EMsPADB— Liron Shapira (@liron) April 25, 2023

Georgi Gerganov on Twitter / X

llama.cpp at 100k starsnow that 90% of the code worldwide is being written by AI agents, I predict that within 3-6 months, 90% of all AI agents will be running locally with llama.cpp 😄Jokes aside, I am going to use this small milestone as an opportunity to reflect a bit on… pic.twitter.com/BpN5VL1bYV— Georgi Gerganov (@ggerganov) March 30, 2026

Ed Zitron's AI prediction track record

Valerio Capraro on Twitter / X

Our new paper shows that AI destroys the wisdom of uncertainty.The willingness to say “I don’t know” collapses from 44% to 3%.This happens even when the AI’s advice is wrong. Consequently, correct answers fall from 27% to 9%.Yes: some people who would otherwise answer… pic.twitter.com/l0YZ75IFHn— Valerio Capraro (@ValerioCapraro) August 10, 2026

Maksym Andriushchenko on Twitter / X

many people seem to be upset by >50k submissions to ICLR. i think we should celebrate it! more people are doing AI (including AI safety) research - isn't it amazing?as for how to navigate the growing amount of papers, luckily, Larry Wasserman formulated a solution back in 2012! pic.twitter.com/U85FGshTqw— Maksym Andriushchenko (@maksym_andr) September 20, 2026

Andrew Orlowski on Twitter / X

By far the shrewdest and most entertaining analyst of the AI bubble is Georg Zoeller, ex Facebook. Re-reading his DeepSeek reaction piece from 18 months, which holds up well. It was all so predictable: banning open source, the Red Menace, pivot to military. What has really… pic.twitter.com/38dX7vcrkC— Andrew Orlowski (@AndrewOrlowski) July 5, 2026