







What's amazing about this is every time there's a new grand prediction about AI, it's like people forget the 500 previous predictions from the same group of people that were completely wrong. AI by 2025 (Musk). AI doing most coding by 2025 (Amodei). Etc. Why is that?? https://t.co/t9CcMQO4EN— Dr. Émile P. Torres (they/them) (@xriskology) January 28, 2026
Joshua Achiam on Twitter / X
There is a fact about the future that I feel many people are not facing for reasons that are largely psychological: there are going to be rogue AIs that exist in the world, that will replicate in the wild, and that will attempt to acquire resources for themselves. There will be…— Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) September 1, 2026
What the hell happened with AGI timelines in 2026?
Suhail on Twitter / X
Oh, this is coming back in such a big way this year with AI. We were a bit too early.Remember: Browser = OS pic.twitter.com/YoMaS8cjmI— Suhail (@Suhail) June 23, 2025

Why Centralized AI Is Not Our Inevitable Future
This talk was given at the O’Reilly AI Codecon on September 9th. Here’s a recording of the talk as delivered. Here’s the official recording (which had a slight technical glitch day of). https://common.tools/talks/why-centralized-ai-is-not-our-inevitable-future points here —--- Hi, I'm Alex Komoro...
Companies That Replaced Humans With AI Are Realizing Their Mistake
As AI agents have yet to pay for themselves, more and more executives are waking up to the sloppy reality of AI hype.

Georgi Gerganov on Twitter / X
llama.cpp at 100k starsnow that 90% of the code worldwide is being written by AI agents, I predict that within 3-6 months, 90% of all AI agents will be running locally with llama.cpp 😄Jokes aside, I am going to use this small milestone as an opportunity to reflect a bit on… pic.twitter.com/BpN5VL1bYV— Georgi Gerganov (@ggerganov) March 30, 2026
Valerio Capraro on Twitter / X
Our new paper shows that AI destroys the wisdom of uncertainty.The willingness to say “I don’t know” collapses from 44% to 3%.This happens even when the AI’s advice is wrong. Consequently, correct answers fall from 27% to 9%.Yes: some people who would otherwise answer… pic.twitter.com/l0YZ75IFHn— Valerio Capraro (@ValerioCapraro) August 10, 2026

An AI state of the union: We’ve passed the inflection point & dark factories are coming
Andrew Orlowski on Twitter / X
By far the shrewdest and most entertaining analyst of the AI bubble is Georg Zoeller, ex Facebook. Re-reading his DeepSeek reaction piece from 18 months, which holds up well. It was all so predictable: banning open source, the Red Menace, pivot to military. What has really… pic.twitter.com/38dX7vcrkC— Andrew Orlowski (@AndrewOrlowski) July 5, 2026
The future belongs to those who can refute AI, not just generate with AI
Why verification, not prompting, could shape the next decade of engineering

Arvind Narayanan on Twitter / X
I had the honor of giving a keynote at the International Conference on Machine Learning in Seoul last week titled “What will be left for us to work on?” I addressed the widespread anxiety about how we should adapt as AI capabilities increase. I was thrilled by the talk’s… pic.twitter.com/GEq0q6hEM0— Arvind Narayanan (@random_walker) July 13, 2026

Mathematicians are grappling with the possibility that AI might eclipse them
I talked to 20 mathematicians about rapid AI progress in their field.


How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
AI Isn't as Powerful as We Think | Hannah Fry
AI is now unpopular. That may not make a difference.