Collection
Prediction markets
Updated 7h
Collection
Updated 7h
How Everything Became Gambling
It’s not just DraftKings and Polymarket — the logic of gambling undergirds everything coming out of Silicon Valley.
US senators urge crackdown on wildfire betting amid warnings of arson risk
Experts say growing trend on sites such as Polymarket and Kalshi could motivate people to start fires to win money
Polymarket is America, America is Polymarket
As the US celebrates its 250th birthday, prediction markets have already taken over—now they are coming for you
The Unlimited Hangout Podcast Ep #001 - Prediction Markets
AI as the new avatar of American capitalism
Why "AI populism" is just "populism"
A Bayesian Truth Serum for Subjective Data
Subjective judgments, an essential information source for science and policy, are problematic because there are no public criteria for assessing judgmental truthfulness. I present a scoring method for eliciting truthful subjective data in situations ...
Beware the Power of Prediction | Carissa Véliz | TED
More Than Half of Men Aged 18 to 49 Have Already Fallen Into Online Sports Betting
A recent survey found that more than half of American men aged 18 to 49 said they had an active sports betting account.
Why Almost Everyone Loses—Except a Few Sharks—on Prediction Markets
A WSJ analysis shows a small number of accounts on Polymarket and Kalshi—often pros using data-driven algorithmic trading—take home most of the winnings.
Gamblers trying to win a bet on Polymarket are vowing to kill me if I don’t rewrite an Iran missile story
Bettors are using death threats to try to get The Times of Israel's military correspondent to change his report on a missile impact in central Israel. This is his alarming account
From Pill Mills to Prop Bets: Prediction Markets and Mobile Sports Betting Apps Are Fueling America’s Next Addiction Crisis
Against the gamblification of the world.
We are all going to regret Kalshi and Polymarket.
Gambling should be like cigarettes: Legal but inaccessible.
Polymarket allowed users to bet on whether any one of the 7 defendants in the Cornell rape case will be charged with a felony sex crime and the market did almost HALF A MILLION DOLLARS IN VOLUME
Polymarket Removes Cornell 7 Market After Blowback
frontofficesports.comForbes is gamifying news about the horrific mass shooting in Shreveport, LA this weekend, encouraging readers to bet on the likelihood of gun regulation with fake money via its "ForbesPredict" feature. Eight children were murdered in the shooting. futurism.com/future-society/forbes-mass-sh…
In Article About Horrific Shooting That Killed Eight Children, Forbes Lets Readers Place Bets About Gun Control
futurism.comPolymarket nuclear detonation prediction market seems quite late in "late stage capitalism" x.com/davidsirota/status/2028979804…
In case you didn't think Polymarket was sketchy enough. It paid influencers to use a fake site (poiymarket) to make fake bets that would then look like they won, and then to post viral videos to social media pretending they had won money. wsj.com/business/media/polymarket-soc…
They Looked Like They Were Getting Rich on Polymarket—but None of It Was Real
www.wsj.com
