With a review of last year’s predictions
Where will AI be at the end of 2027? A bet
We, Gary Marcus, author, scientist, and noted skeptic of generative AI, and Miles Brundage, an independent AI policy researcher who recently left OpenAI and is bullish on AI progress, have agreed to the following bet, at 10:1 odds, with criteria drawn from two earlier Substack essays by Gary that proposed criteria for
State of AI Report 2025
The State of AI Report analyses the most interesting developments in AI. Read and download here.
Being Realistic About AI Agents in 2025 - Perilous Tech
There are few predictions I can make with more certainty than that we’ll hear the word “agent” so many times in 2025 that we’ll never watch another spy movie
AI 2040: Plan A
A detailed forecast and recommendation for how the US, China and the rest of the world should navigate superintelligence.
AI 2040: Plan A
A detailed forecast and recommendation for how the US, China and the rest of the world should navigate superintelligence.
Dr. Émile P. Torres (they/them) on Twitter / X
What's amazing about this is every time there's a new grand prediction about AI, it's like people forget the 500 previous predictions from the same group of people that were completely wrong. AI by 2025 (Musk). AI doing most coding by 2025 (Amodei). Etc. Why is that?? https://t.co/t9CcMQO4EN— Dr. Émile P. Torres (they/them) (@xriskology) January 28, 2026
Ed Zitron's AI prediction track record
Joshua Achiam on Twitter / X
There is a fact about the future that I feel many people are not facing for reasons that are largely psychological: there are going to be rogue AIs that exist in the world, that will replicate in the wild, and that will attempt to acquire resources for themselves. There will be…— Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) September 1, 2026
Import AI 458: Reckoning with the future; and a singularity story
What AI-driven miracles will happen this year?
The 2025 AI Agent Index
Agentic AI systems are increasingly capable of performing complex tasks with limited human involvement. The 2025 AI Agent Index documents the origins, design, capabilities, ecosystem, and safety features of 30 prominent AI agents based on publicly available information and correspondence with developers.
AI Engineer's 2025 | Unsloth Documentation
Slides to our AI Engineer's Worlds Fair 2025 Workshop.
Suhail on Twitter / X
Oh, this is coming back in such a big way this year with AI. We were a bit too early.Remember: Browser = OS pic.twitter.com/YoMaS8cjmI— Suhail (@Suhail) June 23, 2025
AI Predictions, Big and Small
A compilation of ideas and writing where there is some prediction of the future so that we can look back one day and compare.
Mustafa Suleyman: My new Turing test would see if AI can make $1 million
AI 2040: Plan A
AI 2027
Dean W. Ball on Twitter / X
Dean W. Ball on Twitter / X
OpenAI drops a bomb on maths